2026年中国建成3艘核潜艇

China built 3 Nuclear Subs in 2026. The US Built zero. And it’s gonna get worse.

2026年中国建成3艘核潜艇，美国一艘都没有，而且美国的情况还会持续恶化。

2020 年葫芦岛大型核潜艇厂区完工后产能彻底释放：2023、2024 年每年下水 3 艘 093B 型攻击核潜艇；2026 年前 5 个月接连下水 3 款全新先进型号，包含首艘 095 型，还有两艘 120 米全新大吨位核潜艇。

中方核潜艇服役年限普遍更新，造船工业体系完整，舰艇待修闲置率仅约 20%；作战海域距离本土极近，长途航行损耗几乎可以忽略。同时还保有约 50 艘常规动力潜艇作为补充。

规模反转节点：2030 年中方可作战核潜艇数量将逼近美军，2034 年前后双方规模持平，2040 年代初期中方可用攻击核潜艇数量将达到美军两倍（不含常规潜艇）。

以下是印度网友的评论：

Vf1sgundam
The US can't even take out Iran.

美国连伊朗都没法彻底摆平。

Mixaelzkn
If you want to know why the West is in decline while China is making steady progress, you'll find the answer right here in the comment section. Chinese submarines 'silencing themselves'，it's honestly laughable. 'Weakness and ignorance are not barriers to survival, but arrogance is.' — 《The Three-Body Problem》

想搞懂为何西方不断衰落、中国稳步向前发展，看完这条评论区你就能明白。还有人嘲讽中国潜艇降噪能力差，实在让人啼笑皆非。“弱小和无知不是生存的阻碍，傲慢才是。”——《三体》

NASWOG
Yeah, but theirs sink on the pier. Literally

话虽如此，可中方潜艇都有在码头直接沉没的真实案例。

jogo-k6t
As if thats going to change anything, they will just build another.

就算真出过这种事也改变不了大局，大不了再造一艘新的。

NASWOG
@jogo-k6t i mean, a sunken submarine is one less submarine and reflects the quality and maintenance standards (or lack thereof)

我的意思是，潜艇沉一艘就少一艘，这件事也暴露了装备质量和日常维护存在巨大漏洞。

jogo-k6t
@NASWOG As if accidents aren't prevalent in US navy as a result of incompetence, exstence of accidents doesn't help you infer much

美军因为操作失误发生的事故还少吗？单凭事故根本说明不了什么问题。

NASWOG
@jogo-k6t complete a size to loss ratio analysis for us, then report back. Thanks

你不如统计一下双方舰艇总量和事故损毁数量的比值，算完再过来讨论，谢谢。

Vf1sgundam
Technically, subs are supposed to sink...

严格来讲，潜艇本来就是要往水下潜的

NASWOG
@Vf1sgundam submerge. Sinking involves transitioning to an unrecoverable state. Next contestant in this thread plz

那叫下潜。沉没指的是舰艇损毁、无法打捞报废，下一位网友继续发言。

normm1619
There will be no war in Asia over Taiwan….it would be logistically impossible for the USA to support it.

台海地区不会爆发战争，美国根本没有足够后勤能力支撑这场战事。

NASWOG
As a Naval supply guy, you’re incorrect. Instead of looking at military assets, consider things such as nationalizing fedex and UPS, for instance It’s quite the feat, but logistically possible.

我从事海军后勤相关工作，你这个观点不对。别只盯着军用装备，美国可以征用联邦快递、联合包裹这类民用物流企业支援，虽说难度极大，但后勤层面具备实施条件。

afryanmahendra2055
With current US industrial output. Highly unlikely. Iran war cost years of US missiles production in just a single week and now they struggle to replace it because of china rare earth material sanction. A war in pacific today would cost significantly more than that and the us will be facing a country with vastly superior industrial capacity.

以美国当下的工业产能来看，基本不可能实现。当年伊朗相关冲突一周就消耗掉美国数年储备的导弹，如今受中国稀土管控限制，美军导弹库存都补不齐。一旦太平洋爆发战事，物资消耗会远超当年，而美国对手的工业产能还远远强于自己。

bearmegmoo
Australia are buying US nuclear power submarine and will build nuclear submarine in Australia

澳大利亚正在采购美国核潜艇，还计划在本土建造核潜艇。

sitoudien9816
If you don't build commercial ships, how do you expect to build naval ships?

连民用船舶产业都荒废了，怎么可能造好军用舰艇？

zawam
US should stop antagonising Asia

美国别再到处和亚洲国家对立了。

superpooper2025
The drones used by both the US and Ukraine are all made in China.

美国、乌克兰使用的无人机核心产品全都是中国制造。

quanscott1979
To be precise, we purchase components from China and assemble them ourselves.

准确来说，我们只是从中国采购零部件，自行组装整机。

chinchilla505
Not really, chinese made components are used though. Like batteries, cameras etc. China is not selling military drones to ukraine or US

也不能完全这么说，设备里确实有中国产零件，比如电池、摄像头这类。但中国并没有向美、乌出口军用无人机整机。

superpooper2025
Historically, the nations with the greatest industrial capacity have also possessed the greatest military strength; you simply haven't realized it yet.

纵观历史，工业实力顶尖的国家，军事实力必然雄厚，只是很多人还没看清这点。

chg-vq6kg
Classic America: technologically advanced, dominant, invincible—then bogged down in a tough fight. China do nothing win.

美国一贯的剧本：前期技术领先、称霸全球、号称无敌，最后深陷战争泥潭。中国不用主动开战，就能赢得最终优势。

markbunn8576
China's biggest problem is oil. Unlike the US and Russia they're dependent on other countries for their oil like Venezuela which is why the US just took control of it.

中国最大短板是石油资源。不像美俄能自给自足，中国石油高度依赖进口，比如委内瑞拉原油，所以美国才会想方设法掌控该国。

arcticfox6808
I don't know why we aren't talking more about this. China's production capacity is so far beyond the West that there is no way we could win a long drawn out war with them. We can't bomb all their factories and they can outproduce us in drones 10 to 1. They have some 30 military shipyards compared to four active military shipyards in the United States. China could lose several major Midway-like battles in the Pacific and still win with these kinds of numbers. We're in big, big trouble.

我不明白大家为何很少讨论这件事。中国工业产能已经大幅甩开西方国家，持久战我们根本赢不了。我们没法炸毁对方全部工厂，对方无人机产能是我们十倍。中国有大约三十家军用造船厂，美国在役军用船厂仅四家。就算中国在太平洋输掉好几场中途岛级别的大规模海战，靠产能规模依旧能翻盘，我们的处境非常不妙。

hiloSurfer
Drone production 60-75 to 1; ship building 230 to 1.

双方无人机产能差距60到75倍，船舶制造产能差距高达230倍。

arcticfox6808
@PhiloSurfer You are probably right. I'm just trying to raise awareness without sounding crazy.

你说的数据大概率属实，我只是想客观提醒大家危机，不想说得太夸张让人觉得离谱。

mikaelgauslaa5547
I read somewhere that the Jiangnan ship yard alone has more capacity than all of the US navy shipyards combined.

我看到资料写，单单江南造船厂的产能，就超过美国所有海军船厂总和。

chongmax7878
Dun worry, USA has a lot more nuclear sub. It will take years to catch up . Now get back to sleep

不用慌，美国核潜艇数量依旧领先，中国还要很多年才能追上，大家放宽心。

4fallschirmjager
Western complacency is why the Chinese are wng

西方国家安于现状、不思进取，才让中国一步步实现赶超。

hellothere1656
It wont take long. More like just 3 years. Right now US has 67. China has 62.

不用等很久，大概三年就能追平。目前美国67艘核潜艇，中国62艘。

quanscott1979
Don’t forget that China also has a fleet of diesel-electric submarines built with Russian technology.

别忘了中国还有大批引进俄罗斯技术建造的常规柴电潜艇。

iidyaniiyakwaxhosa
That thought is exactly why the west is in the position it is in now. Years fly by very fast

抱有这种轻敌想法，正是西方如今陷入劣势的根源，时间一晃差距就拉开了。

ojimbo3681
China's going to need those subs to combat the world's biggest pirate.

中国造这么多潜艇，是为了制衡全球头号海上霸权国家。

LeonLKC
The U.S. believes its new classes of submarines are sophisticated and modern. It is probably equivalent to the German Kong Tiger tanks, packing an enormous punch and its armour plating rendering itself almost invulnerable to enemy shells. The downside was it was hampered by its sheer size and weight and prone to breakdown and the logistics issues were a nighmare. It became more of a liability than an asset to its armour division. And it was not available in sufficient numbers to turn the tide of the war in its favor. These problems are parallel to what the U.S. submarine fleet is facing today. The same goes for its modern stealth fighters' platforms i.e. the F-22, which has a limited number, and production seem to have stopped virtually.

美国自认新一代潜艇技术精密先进，堪比二战德国虎王坦克：火力强悍、装甲厚重，几乎能抵御敌方炮火。但缺点是体型重量过大，故障频发，后勤维护极其困难，对装甲部队而言弊大于利，且产量稀少，无力扭转战局。如今美国潜艇部队正面临一模一样的困境，F-22隐身战机也是同理，列装数量极少，生产线基本已经关停。

siberiantiger3917
As the CIA/Western military pundits narrative goes, "They can build them; but, can they crew them?" China, in its history, has never fired a torpedo in anger. "This lack of experience will doom them." LMAO!

中情局和西方军事专家总说：“他们造得出潜艇，却没有成熟艇员。”历史上中国从未在实战发射鱼雷，还声称实战经验不足会拖垮中方，实在可笑。

andrewhirsch6472
The Imperial Japanese Navy had fired torpedoes in anger before the U.S. Navy did. Japan still lost. Japan's ground and air crews had years of combat experience in China before attacking the U.S. Japan still lost. There are many other instances of armies and navies losing despite their experience going back to Greco-Roman times.

旧日本海军实战发射鱼雷的经历早于美军，最后照样战败。日军海陆空军在侵华战争积攒多年实战经验，和美开战后依旧惨败。自古希腊罗马时期以来，有无数拥有丰富作战经验的军队最终落败的先例。

Starstreak170
China is run by engineers. USA is run by lawyers, bankers and Israel.

中国领导层多出身工科技术领域。美国掌权的却是律师、金融资本，还受以色列势力左右。

awddfg
Mainly israel, corporations second, lawyers third, and anti-intellectualism fourth

美国政坛第一大影响势力是以色列，其次是大型企业财团，再是律师群体，国内还盛行反智风气。

smartliving4464
China is run by engineers. USA is run by Israeli lawyers, Israeli bankers and Israeli leaders........ FTFY bro

纠正一下：治理中国的是工科出身干部，掌控美国的是以色列背景律师、金融家与政客。

ihmpall
Yeah the lawyers run a 30T economy backed by worlds best military and more aircraft carriers than rest of the world combined.

就算掌权者多是律师，美国坐拥30万亿经济体量、全球顶尖军力，航母总数比其余各国加起来还多。

VB6000.
Underwater coffins.

水下移动棺材。

turcenoarthurjamil4364
one thing is for certain, China may outbuild the free world, but history has since always shown that the free world will prevail. Co unist and auth rian regimes are and will never be victorius.

有一点可以确定：就算中国造舰规模超越自由世界，历史规律证明自由阵营终将获胜，体制永远无法赢得最终胜利。

devoyblake4569
The question should be why does the USA wants to go war with China over an island that has belonged to China for 2500 yrs. An island 7000miles from U.S. shores. The arrogance of Americans will be their downfall

真正该思考的问题是，一座归属中国两千五百年、距离美国本土七千英里的岛屿，美国为何非要为此和中国开战。美国人的傲慢，终将引火烧身。

Morisu-Chan
Simple answer really, Taiwan still has the majority of semi-conductor manufacturing, if it falls into China's hands, then the US will have lost another Trump card against the Chinese. In the end, despite whatever western politicians spew about human ri hts or nonsense like that, it's always just about money.

原因其实很简单：台湾掌握全球大部分芯片产能，一旦统一，美国制衡中国的核心筹码就没了。西方政客嘴上空谈人*，说到底一切都是为经济利益。

sgt.grinch3299
It is easy to build loud, noisy, and outdated submarines. Building modern submarines that are as quiet as ocean background noise is difficult. Creating listening systems that are capable of listening without you knowing they are there

造出噪音巨大、技术落后的潜艇不难，难的是研发噪音接近海洋自然背景音的现代化潜艇，以及能隐蔽探测目标的声呐监听系统。

deragoth4250
Not really. At the end of the day USA does not have the workforce. Give the Chinese the technical knowledge and equipment and they will out produce the USA on the same model submarines

事实并非如此，根源是美国产业工人缺口巨大。只要给到同等技术与设备，同型号潜艇中国的量产能力绝对碾压美国。

jorgarb
China also make dildos, vibrators and all types of plastic sex toys too.

中国还生产各类情趣玩具。

chentom-p1q
What's wrong with that? Most of your cell phones, drones, cars and air conditioners are manufactured by us. So are your furniture, shoes, clothes and toys. That’s why we have a trade surplus of over one trillion US dollars.

这有什么问题？你们绝大多数手机、无人机、汽车、空调，还有家具、鞋帽、服饰、玩具都是中国制造，这也是我们贸易顺差超万亿美金的原因。

THE-X-Force
We're busy building ballrooms and triumphant arches for our clown king.

我们忙着给闹剧一样的掌权者修建豪华礼堂、纪念凯旋门。

kendopa9604
Good new .US terrorist can build less submarine

好消息，美国这群好战分子造不出多少潜艇了。

krishyyfan5153
USA is building Asian NATO with Japan Remilitarization and ASian allies strengthening Defense Agreements..... Water Canon China just built alliances with Islamic terrorists Iran and some 4th world nations from Africa...

美国正在打造亚洲版北约，推动日本重新军事化，拉拢亚洲盟友加固防务条约。反观中国，只和伊朗这类ysl国家、非洲落后小国抱团。

soothsayer2406
Great news! Peace will be guaranteed as the crazy orange clown is now constrained! Each Los Angeles class submarines require tens of tons of Rare Earths that only China can supply but won't!

好消息，那位行事疯狂的前总统权力受限，和平更有保障！每一艘洛杉矶级核潜艇都需要数十吨稀土，稀土供应基本掌握在中国手中，而中国不会轻易供货。

peasantmob1712
The country that keeps starting wars worried about the country that hasn’t started one since the 70s.

常年四处挑起战火的国家，反倒忌惮一个上世纪七十年代后从未主动开战的国家。

paulpowell4871
US contractors refuse to hire back retired experts.

美国军工企业不愿重新聘用退休资深技术专家。