Bangladesh to vote tomorrow: What's at stake for India, Pakistan and China

孟加拉国明日举行投票：对印度、巴基斯坦和中国意味着什么

After months of violence, street protests and political upheaval, Bangladesh now faces its moment of reckoning. What began in July 2024 as a student agitation over public sector job quotas quickly spiralled into a nationwide revolt against Sheikh Hasina’s government, culminating in her resignation and flight to India. The unrest left more than 1,000 people dead and dismantled a political order that was entrenched in Dhaka’s politics for over a decade.

Now, on February 12, Bangladesh votes in its first general election since that uprising, a ballot that will test not only the strength of its de ocracy but the direction of its national identity.

历经数月的暴力冲突、街头抗议与政治动荡后，孟加拉国如今迎来关键抉择时刻。2024年7月，一场因公共部门岗位配额问题引发的学生抗议，迅速演变为全国范围内反对谢赫·哈西娜政府的暴动，最终以哈西娜辞职并流亡印度告终。这场动荡已造成超千人死亡，同时瓦解了在达卡政坛根深蒂固长达十余年的政治秩序。

2月12日，孟加拉国将举行此次动荡后的首次大选。这场投票不仅考验该国的民 主韧性，也将决定其国家身份的未来走向。

Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus who took charge after Hasina’s ouster said that the interim government “will hand over the responsibility to the newly elected government with deep pleasure and pride.”

But the field has been radically reshaped. The once-dominant Awami League has been sidelined, opening the field to a resurgent Bangladesh Nationalist Party under Tarique Rahman and an emboldened Jamaat-e-Islami seeking renewed legitimacy.

For Bangladesh, this is a struggle to restore stability after a stint with instability. But it also holds a significant impact on a region that has battled with growing instability, where governments have fallen and leaders have fled faster than Pakistan’s military has overturned governments.

For India, China and Pakistan, it is a moment that could redraw the strategic balance in South Asia.

哈西娜下台后接管政权的诺贝尔奖得主穆罕默德·尤努斯表示，临时政府“将满怀喜悦与自豪，把治理职责移交给新当选的政府”。

但孟加拉国的政治格局已彻底重塑。曾经一党独大的人民联盟已被边缘化，这为拉赫曼领导的复兴中的孟加拉国民族主义党，以及寻求重塑合法性、势头正盛的伊 斯兰大会党打开了政治空间。

对孟加拉国而言，此次大选是在经历动荡后重建稳定的关键一搏。而它对整个地区同样影响深远——南亚本就面临日益加剧的不稳定，政府倒台、领导人流亡的速度，甚至比巴基斯坦军方推番政府还要快。

对印度、中国和巴基斯坦来说，这一时刻则有可能重新改写南亚的战略平衡格局。

以下是印度时报读者的评论：

Exaltedman
No BS. No need for such long article. Whoever wins, India is being sidelined and relation is on downward spiral. China continues to gain and will have stronghold due to its deep pockets to invest and support Bangladesh for its development!

别废话，不用写这么长的文章，不管谁获胜，印度都会被边缘化，两国关系也会持续恶化，中国会不断扩大影响力，凭借雄厚的资金投资支持孟加拉国发展，从而在当地牢牢站稳脚跟。

Hemant Thakur
Nobel laureate on terrorism Mohammad Yunus. ROFL

还说尤努斯是诺贝尔反恐奖得主，简直太可笑了。

Rajeev S
True

说得对。

Rajeev S
Muslims are ungrateful people so don't expect anything normal from Bangladesh. The current Bangladesh is East Pakistan run by US-China and Pakistan. India should prepare for Pakistani style terror attacks from Bangladesh.

那些人都忘恩负义，所以别指望孟加拉国会有什么正常的举动，现在的孟加拉国就是被美国、中国和巴基斯坦操控的东巴基斯坦，印度应该做好准备，应对来自孟加拉国的巴基斯坦式恐怖袭击。

Lmz
Hindus don't own Bangladesh. They don't even own Nepal.

印度教徒并不拥有孟加拉国，他们甚至连尼泊尔也掌控不了。

Lmz
India interference making relations worst. Bangladesh is not landlocked. They also have China to turn to. BJP anti Muslim stance responsible.

印度的干涉让两国关系变得更糟，孟加拉国并不是内陆国，他们还可以寻求中国的支持，这一切都要归咎于印度人民党的反穆立场。

Nitin Mody
Nothing and everything is stake for India. Remember only that Bangladesh is a Muslim Country.

对印度来说，看似无关紧要，实则事事都至关重要，只要记住一点就够了，那就是孟加拉国是一个msl国家。

Desai
It was a Major mistake by Indira Gandhi for give away entire Bangladesh, she should had carved out some portions for India's north east and BIMSTEC would had been a easy to implement.

英迪拉·甘地当年放手整个孟加拉国是一个重大错误，她本应该划出一部分土地给印度东北地区，那样的话环孟加拉湾多领域技术经济合作倡议早就可以轻松落实了。

Dr Vidyadhar Yellutla
Rahul Ghandhy can throw his hat in Bangladesh elections, after all he is proud Indira gandhi gave away Chittagong port to Bangladesh to land lock North East, which he is proud of.

拉胡尔·甘地干脆去参加孟加拉国的选举算了，毕竟他还在为英迪拉·甘地把吉大港送给孟加拉国、导致印度东北变成内陆地区而感到自豪。

Sanjeev Kumar Bakshi
…but where is :Dhaka’s eye ,keep eyes open…khabar pe nazar banaye rakho …??

可是我们安插在达卡的眼线呢，都睁大眼睛，时刻关注局势的动向啊。

Vikash Holla
If we need a party who is in favor of India to win, send some members of EC to give them some tips on how to make someone win!!

如果我们想让亲印度的政党获胜，那就派选举委员会的人过去，教他们怎么操作才能赢得选举。

Umesh Kamat
I admire Indiraji for creating this nation... She didn't care about Nixon and Kissinger... Had this been easy Pakistan.. India would have had problems manifold... Just keep check on this Manhus Yunus... He really brought down status of the Nobel prize... With his Sadistic behaviour... US and India should work together to keep Hyena.. China and Pakis away from Bangladesh...

我佩服英迪拉女士缔造了孟加拉国这个国家，她根本不理会尼克松和基辛格，如果孟加拉国还在巴基斯坦的手中，印度面临的麻烦会多出好几倍，一定要盯紧尤努斯这个人，他的卑劣行径拉低了诺贝尔奖的地位，美国和印度应该联手，把中国和巴基斯坦这些豺狼挡在孟加拉国之外。

No Need To Contril Others

As progressive human ri hts advocates, we ask Rahul, Mamata, Akhilesh, Pinarayi Vijayan, Islamists and Paki trolls, why aren’t they condemn lynching and burning of Dipu Chandra Das and others??? Don’t Hindu lives matter?? Hindus murdered in Bangladesh between December 2, 2025, and late January 2026:
* Prantosh Kormokar (42): Shot dead on December 2, 2025, in Narsingdi.
* Utpol Sarkar: Hacked to death on December 2, 2025, in Faridpur.
* Jogesh Chandra Roy (75): 1971 war veteran found dead with throat slit at home in Rangpur on December 7, 2025.
* Suborna Roy (60): Wife of Jogesh Chandra Roy, found dead with throat slit on December 7, 2025.
* Shanto Chandra Das (18): Auto-rickshaw driver found murdered with throat slit on December 12, 2025, in Cumilla.
* Dipu Chandra Das (27): Garment worker lynched and set on fire in Mymensingh on December 18, 2025.
* Amrit Mondal (alias Samrat): Beaten to death on December 24, 2025, in Rajbari district.
* Bajendra Biswas (40): Paramilitary (Ansar) member shot dead by a colleague on December 29, 2025, in Mymensingh.
* Khokon Chandra Das (50):Pharmacy owner who died on January 3, 2026, after being stabbed and set on fire on December 31, 2025, in Shariatpur.
* Rana Pratap Bairagi (38): Newspaper editor/ice factory owner shot and throat slit on January 5, 2026, in Jashore.
* Sarat Mani Chakraborty (Mani):Grocery shop owner hacked to death in Narsingdi on January 5/6, 2026.
* Mithun Sarkar (25): Died after being chased and jum into a ditch on January 6, 2026, in Naogaon.
* Joy Mohapatra (25): Beaten and forced to consume poison; died at a hospital in Sylhet on January 10, 2026.
* Samir Das (28): Auto driver beaten/stabbed to death on January 11, 2026, in Feni.
* Prolay Chaki: Died in prison on January 11, 2026; he was a Hindu Awami League leader arrested on December 16, 2025.
* Liton Chandra Das (55): Hotel owner beaten to death in Gazipur on January 17, 2026.
* Chanchal Chandra Bhowmik (23):Burned to death in a garage in Narsingdi on January 23, 2026.
* Sushen Chandra Sarkar (62): Rice trader hacked to death in Mymensingh on February 9, 2026.

作为进步人*倡导者，我们质问拉胡尔、玛玛塔、阿基莱什、皮纳拉伊·维贾扬、ysl主义者以及巴基斯坦网络喷子，他们为何不谴责迪普·钱德拉·达斯等人遭到私刑杀害并被纵火的暴行？难道印度教徒的生命就不重要吗？

以下是2025年12月2日至2026年1月下旬在孟加拉国被杀害的印度教徒名单：

- 普兰托什·科尔莫卡尔（42岁）：2025年12月2日在纳尔辛迪遭枪击身亡。

- 乌特波尔·萨卡尔：2025年12月2日在法里德普尔遭砍杀身亡。

- 乔盖什·钱德拉·罗伊（75岁）：1971年战争老兵，2025年12月7日在朗布尔家中被割喉身亡。

- 苏博尔娜·罗伊（60岁）：乔盖什·钱德拉·罗伊的妻子，2025年12月7日被割喉身亡。

- 尚托·钱德拉·达斯（18岁）：三轮车司机，2025年12月12日在库米拉被割喉杀害。

- 迪普·钱德拉·达斯（27岁）：制衣工人，2025年12月18日在迈门辛遭私刑后被纵火身亡。

- 阿姆里特·蒙达尔（化名萨姆拉特）：2025年12月24日在拉杰巴里区被殴打致死。

- 巴坚德拉·比斯瓦斯（40岁）：安萨尔准军事部队成员，2025年12月29日在迈门辛被同事枪击身亡。

- 科孔·钱德拉·达斯（50岁）：药店店主，2025年12月31日在沙里亚德布尔遭刺伤并被纵火，于2026年1月3日不治身亡。

- 拉纳·普拉塔普·拜拉吉（38岁）：报社主编兼冰厂老板，2026年1月5日在杰索尔遭枪击并被割喉身亡。

- 萨拉特·马尼·查克拉博尔蒂（马尼）：杂货店店主，2026年1月5日至6日在纳尔辛迪遭砍杀身亡。

- 米顿·萨卡尔（25岁）：2026年1月6日在瑙冈被人追赶，跳沟后身亡。

- 乔伊·莫哈帕特拉（25岁）：遭殴打并被迫服毒，2026年1月10日在锡尔赫特一家医院不治身亡。

- 萨米尔·达斯（28岁）：三轮车司机，2026年1月11日在费尼遭殴打和刺扎身亡。

- 普罗莱·查基：2026年1月11日死于狱中，他是2025年12月16日被捕的印度教徒人民联盟领导人。

- 利顿·钱德拉·达斯（55岁）：酒店老板，2026年1月17日在加济布尔被殴打致死。

- 昌查尔·钱德拉·鲍米克（23岁）：2026年1月23日在纳尔辛迪的一处车库内被烧死。

- 苏申·钱德拉·萨卡尔（62岁）：米商，2026年2月9日在迈门辛遭砍杀身亡。

Sundararaman Srinivasan
Now Trump has gifted zero tariff on Bangladesh garments exports....we are in disadvantage.

现在特朗普给了孟加拉国服装出口零关税优惠，我们印度反而处于劣势了。

Umesh Kamat
Peace and cutmullahs are oxymoronic..thing.. cannot live peacefully with others or eachothers... Sadistic desert cult... They are such a heavy..burden.. on civilized Societies...

和平跟某些极端宗教群体根本就是水火不容，他们既没法和外人和平相处，内部也冲突不断

Heramb
Opposition parties are banned. This is not an election.

反对党都被禁止参选了，这根本不是真正的选举。

suraj
Bangladesh is heading the Pakistan way.Daily bomb blasts,crumbling economy,radical terrorists running around etc

孟加拉国正在走上巴基斯坦的老路，天天发生爆炸、经济崩溃。

Ashis Mitra
BNP seems to be the frontrunner.The Bangladeshi intellectuals have always supported BNP as a nationalist party which does not surrender to the big neighbour.Moreover the party has overt and covert support of the U.S which was instrumental in bringing down the Hasina govt. India can work with both the groups who belong to the Right of Centre & Right

孟加拉国民族主义党目前看起来领先，孟加拉国的知识分子一直支持这个民族主义政党，因为它不会向大国妥协。此外，该党派还得到美国明里暗里的支持，美国也是推番哈西娜政府的关键力量。印度可以和这些中右翼、右翼势力都保持合作。

GIRI MAHARAJ
With Bangladesh aslo india have to build barbed wire fence like done with Pakistan..and mark LOC...or else the Pakistan terrorist will enter to india via Bangadesh india border

印度也得像对巴基斯坦那样，在孟加拉国边境建铁丝网围栏、划定实际控制线，否则巴基斯坦恐怖分子会通过孟印边境潜入印度。

Hemant Thakur
India has to counter Bangladesh anyway, by competing in international politics and markets both.

印度无论如何都要制衡孟加拉国，在国际政治和市场上同时展开竞争。

BHARAT NUMERO UNO
India's best way would be to involve more and more with new kanglu government. No matter what China , Pak may want to try in kanglu land but the fact remains, India has loads of things up in its sleeves to counter kanglu aggression. Indian government has been in touch with both Jamaat and BNP leadership. I guess our government knows a lot than most of us. Hopefully, things will cool down a bit. India has to engage more often than not

印度最好的办法就是积极接触孟加拉国新政府。不管中国和巴基斯坦在孟加拉国搞什么小动作，印度都有足够手段应对对方的挑衅。印度政府已经和ysl大会党、民族主义党的领导层都保持接触，政府知道的肯定比我们多。希望局势能缓和一些，印度必须加强和孟加拉国的往来。

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