"India is set to become a developed nation by 2047, with $30 trillion GDP and $18,000 per capita income."

— Ashwini Vaishnaw, Railway minister

印度铁道部长阿什维尼・瓦什瑙表示：“印度计划在 2047 年跻身发达国家行列，届时国内生产总值将达到 30 万亿美元，人均收入 1.8 万美元。”

以下是印度网友的评论：

Janalokaparty
So now a railway minister speaks on finance, in this govt everything is cross functional. They just love to do other department work. No responsibility,no accountability.

现在连印度铁道部长都跑出来聊经济财政，这届印度政府部门职责完全不分家。官员总喜欢插手别的部门的事，做事没有责任心，出问题也没人担责。

SMAK
What’s the finance ministry doing? Why can’t they just give the same info? Why do a railway minister has to donate the time here? And more interestingly, every minister gives a lot of information on other ministries except their own ministry’s work & their own achievements

财政部去哪了？这种数据本该由财政部对外公布才对。凭什么要铁道部长花时间来讲这件事？还有更滑稽的一点：每位部长张口闭口全是别的部门的事，唯独不提自己分管领域的工作和政绩。

Nandi
Why you people don't give 5year data of government time. Or just make it 3000,y to make 2047 Any way Media is there to support anything

你们怎么不拿出政府过去五年的实际数据？干脆随便定个三万亿美元的目标凑到2047年得了。反正媒体不管说什么都帮着吹。

maheshCMT
With 7% CAGT growth compoyfor next 20 years $4 Trillion economy can max reach $16 Trillion only. It's simple math

就算未来二十年保持7%的年均复合增速，四万亿经济体最多也只能涨到十六万亿，这只是简单的数学计算。

BharatSmil6447
He neither insulted India nor stated a false fact - it was simply a prediction. The comments, however, make it seem like he committed a crime. It feels like some people dislike hearing positive things about India from a BJP minister

他没有诋毁印度，也没有编造虚假数据，这仅仅只是一个预测。但评论区的反应搞得像他犯了大错一样。感觉有些人就是不愿意听人民党部长说印度的好话。

sudhakar
In BJP every minister is everybody’s minister they have all the knowledge to satisfied thier Bhakts , railway answer given by finace minister, finance answer given by roads and transport minister, Question to PM answer by Home, question to education minister answer by RSS.

人民党这边所有部长好像什么都管，靠着一通空谈讨好自家狂热支持者。铁道相关问题让财政部长回答，经济问题由公路交通部长解读；有人问总理，内政部出来回应；问到教育事务，反倒由国民志愿服务团出面作答。

anon surfer
Dear, The problem is that they said the same thing about 2024. Once a liar, always a liar. Liars do not get any respect. Simple as that. And people criticising their elected leaders is infact a sign that people are waking up from a lie served to us 12 years ago.

说白了，问题在于他们当年对2024年也说了一模一样的大话。一次撒谎，终身失信，说谎的人根本不值得尊重。民众敢于批评自己投票选出的官员，恰恰说明大家已经看透这十二年来不断抛出的谎言。

DoctorKocktor
Abbe chaddi.. how is this a positive thing for India? Why do we have to wait till 2047? Didn't Modiji promise us Vishwaguru India by 2020? 6 years have gone and we are still a sh*thole nation.

拜托，这哪里算得上印度的好消息？凭什么要等到2047年？莫迪当年不是承诺2020年印度就能成为世界导师吗？六年过去了，国家现状依旧一团糟。

Soumyadeep_coc
Jaisa boyoge, waisa hi fal milega. We have already seen the kind of seeds they are sowing NEET paper leak, Ayodhya chanda scam, Ujjayan land scam, and above all, their complete refusal to acknowledge facts.

种什么因，得什么果。他们埋下的隐患我们全都看在眼里：全国医学统考泄题、阿约提亚募捐诈骗、乌贾因土地骗局，最关键的是，他们始终不肯正视客观事实。

excitedneuron_
18000 dollars is17 lakh rupees assuming rupaya or neeche nhi girta Currently its 2.7 lakh rupees So one day we will wake up in 2047 and everyone will earn 6 times more With current employment opportunities He is straight out lying but you keep hearing good things lavden bhojyam

假设卢比汇率不贬值，一万八千美元折合一百七十万卢比。现在人均收入才二十七万卢比。也就是说到2047年，所有人收入要翻六倍，就业环境却还是现在这副样子。他纯粹是满口谎话，也就只能听些空泛的美梦。

P Sharma
12 yrs assessment of his gov does not sit alongside what he is saying, thus the

这届政府十二年的实际执政表现，和他口中描绘的愿景完全对不上，由此可见一斑。

Somnath Nandy
Comment section shows people hate BJP. They win just by rigging elections.

评论区就能看出来民众反感人民党，他们能上台全靠操纵选举。

WhyMe63025872
That is one way to put it. Another way - he is puking BS, because he will not be there to be held accountable, while millions raise Indian trains TODAY like canned sardines and they REALLY don't care about 2047.

你可以换个说法理解。说白了他就是胡说八道，等到兑现承诺的时候他早就卸任不用担责。如今数百万民众挤火车像罐头沙丁鱼一样，他们却根本不在乎普通人当下的难处，只画2047年的大饼。

Dawg
Ek Pridiction hui thi 2019 mein ki we will become 5T$ economy by 2024 uska kya hua? Bhonpu bajaya vote maanga aaj uski accountability ni maang raha koi? Similarly iska bhi yahi hai. 2047 mein na Vaishnav hoga na koi aur. These numbers won't matter.

2019年就有预测说2024年经济体量达到五万亿美元，现在兑现了吗？当年靠着画大饼拉选票，如今没人追究当年的承诺。这次也是一个套路，2047年瓦什瑙早就不在位，这些数字承诺到时候无人追责。

ushrit2020
The issue is that these ra*cals and will only speak of the dim distant future, while allowing shit like NEET, CBSE, Ram Mandir loot, unplanned ethanol infusion, etc. to keep happening. That's the issue.

问题就在于这群官员只会空谈遥远的未来，可当下医学统考泄题、中央教育委员会乱象、罗摩神庙募捐贪腐、乙醇燃料盲目推广等一堆乱象持续发生，这才是关键矛盾。

Sam
When such statements are made with the intention of deceiving people and rea political benefits, they are not predictions.

如果这番说辞只是为了欺骗民众、换取政治选票，那就不能称之为预测，只是谎言。

RR
In 2047, these bastards would set a target of 2071. Half of the population would've vanished by then.

等到2047年，这群人又会把发展目标改到2071年，到那时候国内一半人都熬不到兑现的那天。

Abhishek
There is a reason for that. One can't can't be blind enough to ignore that

大家有这种质疑不是没有原因，没人能视而不见。

indian
It's like promising heaven in the next life

这就好比许诺下辈子才能过上好日子，虚无缥缈。

Rakesh
bosadiwalas shud make short term targets... setting 2047 target is esca accountability

他们本该制定短期发展目标，拿2047年当幌子，就是为了逃避当下的责任。

Mohit
12 years later, healthcare is still struggling, government schools are in poor shape, private school fees keep rising and anyone asking questions is branded as anti-national. How long do we have to keep hearing about the future while today's problems remain unsolved?

执政十二年，医疗体系依旧举步维艰，公立学校办学条件落后，私立学校学费持续暴涨。但凡有人提出质疑，就被扣上反国家的帽子。眼前一堆难题搁置不解决，还要听多少年遥远的未来规划？

Hariharan
There’s something called responsibility, Smiles.

做人做事总得讲责任二字。

kamaljoshi1011
Forget about 2047.. just request him to share plans on a yearly basis to achieve it.. you will never get the answer.. 2047 ka jhunjhuna ab bajana band ho..

先别提2047年，只要求他公布每年阶段性实施方案，他肯定答不上来。别再拿2047年的空头愿景到处造势了。

Dr Prteek
Do they seriously think they'll still be alive and in power by 2047

他们真觉得自己活到2047年还能掌权吗？

Aayush
That means doubling every 7 years. Maybe possible. PPP would be interesting.

这个目标意味着经济规模每七年翻一倍，理论上有实现可能，按购买力平价计算的数据会更有参考价值。

KhanNaiyer1
Who has seen 2047, how long will this continue, probably this will not last long, there will be no one to say, if it remains like this till 2047 then those who showed dreams of trillions will be put on the road.

没人能预知2047年，这种画大饼的风气不会一直持续。如果数十年现状毫无改善，当年许下万亿经济美梦的人终将失去民众支持。

Tejas Sharma
This is the main reason why India will never become developed. The government gives fancy dates (we will be developed) when the present is worse. Please start fixng one by one, starting with unemployment. Only the top 10% are doing well. Does it mean we are developed?

这就是印度难以成为发达国家的核心原因。当下民生问题一堆，政府却只会抛出遥远的发展节点。麻烦一步一步解决问题，先从失业问题入手。国内只有顶层10%人群生活富足，这能叫发达国家吗？

Lail
India is the only country where Railway minister talks about GDP and Economy Road minister talks about petroleum

全世界恐怕只有印度这么离谱，铁道部长聊国内生产总值与经济，公路部长反倒大谈石油产业。

7532S5119
2026 per capita income is 2,40,000 you are projecting it by 2047 that mean in 21years it will be 17,10,000 which means by every year the percapita income should increase by 70k ie.,by2027 the per capita should be 3,10,000($=95₹) ie., every person in country should get 5k/m hike

2026年人均收入24万卢比，按照他2047年171万卢比的目标，21年间每年人均收入要增加7万卢比。换算下来2027年人均收入就得达到31万卢比，按1美元兑95卢比算，全国每个人每月收入要增加5000卢比。

Gatikrushn49555
It is possible if BJP goes from power ASAP else forget it . I mean dumb people can only gather horses but we must introduce the equestrians /cowboy/ cowgirl

只有人民党尽快下台，这个目标才有机会实现，不然想都别想。一群不懂治理的人掌权，国家根本没法稳步发展。

Ajit
How? Is ther any road map? Or simply go to small countries to get their highest level Of Honour.

靠什么实现？有配套发展路线图吗？还是只靠出访小国拿荣誉头衔装点门面？

Durgesh Pratap
India is already a developed nation. We have bullet trains, free internet everywhere. Air ambulance and free healthcare. Good govt schools. Even we are employing foreigners here doing the jobs. People from US & UK are applying for Indian Citizenship.

印度早就算是发达国家了。我们有高铁、全域免费网络、空中救护与免费医疗，公立学校设施完善，国内还聘用外籍员工，英美民众都在申请印度国籍。

Tiger0304
And in 2047 we will remember the year 1947 and will thinks how backwards we went from a developed nation in 2014. They will lead the nation backward and erase 70 years of good work and governance

等到2047年人们回望1947年会感慨，2014年明明已经向好发展，如今反倒一路倒退。这群人只会拖累国家发展，抹去过去七十年积累的治理成果。

Mohiddin
I am not sure any of them will be alive old to be accountable for the promise made today

我怀疑当年许下这番承诺的官员，到2047年大多早已离世，没人需要兑现诺言。

Anand Kumar Pasi
Modi's all previous promises were mere jumlas.

莫迪以往所有承诺，全都是空口号。

AstroMarketView
I mean whats the meaning of this If per capita income keeps on decreasing. Already we are a K shape economy. Plus 80 crore are dependent on Free Ration. Sincerely asking, what would be do of this kind of developed nation

人均收入持续走低，这套目标还有什么意义？国内经济早已呈现两极分化格局，八亿民众依靠免费粮食救济生活。真心想问一句，这样的国家就算达标发达国家标准，又有什么实际用处？

Deer37391959
Jumlebazi ki bhi haad hoti hain

画大饼也要有个限度。

Kris
Arey bhai dont advertise so much. Like china do it silently. USA / China will create multiple internal issues to stop this.

兄弟别大肆宣扬目标，学学中国低调发展。美国和中国都会制造各类阻碍，阻挠印度发展。

Dillip Sahoo
Railway Minister is lecturing about finance, Road and safety minister clears the E85 final approval as petroleum minister -- what is happening in my country

铁道部长宣讲财政经济，公路安全部长越权敲定乙醇汽油审批，顶替石油部门的工作，我们国家现在到底是什么乱象？

anirban b
Their dates are always 20 years ahead!! When most of us will not be alive and nor will these fools who make these promises - and therefore no accountability once again. All Feku promises!!

他们定的发展节点永远往后推二十年！到时候大部分普通人连同画饼的官员都不在人世，承诺自然无需兑现，又是一堆空话。

Zia ur rehman Saheb
Possible , if under educated PM and his team and eating meal instead cow dung

除非换掉学识浅薄的总理及其团队，否则这个目标绝无实现可能。

Smita
India needs to grow at 9.88% per year till 2047. India has never achieved that percentage till date. Whom is he lying?

想要达成目标，2047年前每年经济增速要维持9.88%，印度至今从未达到过这个增速，他这是在欺骗谁？

Svostika
Lodu nominal GDP growth rate is already in that range

名义国内生产总值增速其实已经接近这个区间。

naa_ganesan
If the Final GDP is $10 trillion in the year 2047, how much will be CAGR?

如果2047年经济体量最终仅达到十万亿美元，年均复合增速会是多少？

Priya Singh
They know they can lie and still get those freebie votes.

他们心里清楚，就算满口谎言，靠各类惠民福利依旧能拉到选票。

akshaj83454036
max it can grow is 22-25t lol if inflation is same and growth rate is same

在通胀和增速保持现状的前提下，经济体量上限也就二十二到二十五万亿美元，三十万亿根本不现实。

AlwaysforRaga
what are you saying Modi can post 19%+ GDP Growth, Simple he will change formula.

你还指望莫迪实现19%以上的经济增速？无非是修改统计计算公式罢了。

Aditya Acharya
Karwa denge grow 20% pe bhi karwa denge

就算要硬凑20%增速，他们也能靠调整数据做到。

Slorgen
30 trillion is the nominal value, so you must factor in inflation as well. India needs a nominal GDP growth( real GDP growth + inflation + currency appreciation) of 9.88% a year, not real GDP growth.

三十万亿美元是名义GDP数值，必须把通货膨胀纳入考量。印度需要每年实现9.88%的名义GDP增速（实际增速+通胀+货币升值），而非单纯的实际经济增速。

Syed aejaz Ali
How can railway minister do press conference on indian economy, and somebody please teach him what a developed nation looks like. If they start develo now it will take atleast 100 years to be developed but unfortunately they still don't even know from where and how to start.

印度铁道部长凭什么召开发布会解读全国经济？真该有人给他讲讲发达国家是什么样子。就算从现在全力发展，至少也要一百年才能达标，可可悲的是他们连发展的切入点和方法都不清楚。

Aryan
India will become $1000 trillion GDP by 2099 …. Such a useless statement… You don’t have visions for next 1-2 years and you are predicting for the year when you may be not alive

照这个逻辑，2099年印度GDP能达到一千万亿，这种说法毫无意义。近一两年短期规划都拿不出来，反倒预测几十年后自己都未必能活到的年份。

继续阅读：印度GDP   发达国家

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