China sets GDP growth goal at less than 5% in least target since 1991! Trump tariffs, domestic troubles weigh
中国将GDP增长目标设定在5%以下,为1991年以来最低!特朗普关税、国内问题双重施压
China has forecast its GDP growth at the lowest level in over three decades! The world’s second largest economy is slowing down due to multiple external and internal headwinds. China has fixed its annual economic growth target at between 4.5 percent and 5 percent, which marks the lowest growth goal the country has set since 1991. In the meantime, India continues to be the world's fastest growing major economy, with a potential growth rate seen at 7%.
The GDP growth target for 2026 appeared in a draft of the government’s yearly work report. Although the range broadly matches market expectations, it is the first reduction since officials adjusted the goal to around 5% in 2023. In 2020, authorities did not announce any growth target due to the disruptions caused by the Covid pandemic.
The new target reflects mounting challenges from Donald Trump’s tariffs, the global uncertainty linked to the US-Iran conflict, and persistent domestic economic pressures including a property market downturn and rising unemployment.
中国三十余年来首次将年度经济增长预期下调至如此低位!全球第二大经济体正受内外多重逆风拖累而放缓。中国将2026年GDP增长目标定在4.5%至5%区间,这是自1991年以来设定的最低增长目标。与此同时,印度仍保持全球主要经济体中最快增速,潜在增长率预计达7%。
这一2026年GDP增长目标写入了政府年度工作报告草案。尽管该区间基本符合市场预期,但这是自2023年官方将目标调整为5%左右以来的首次下调。2020年,受新冠疫情冲击,中国未公布年度增长目标。
新目标凸显多重挑战:特朗普关税政策、美伊冲突引发的全球不确定性,以及房地产市场下行、失业率上升等持续的国内经济压力。

以下是印度时报读者和其他国家网友的评论:
Clint Eastwood
Ye toh kuch bhi nahi apne data ke samne. Our GDP growth will now touch 30% and when asked for proof, Nimo will send everyone to Pakistan after labeling them as Aunty Nationals. As usual, 'trust me bruh' is the proof that lobotomized lundbhakts are looking for.
这数据跟我们的根本没法比。我们的GDP增速马上就能达到30%。要是有人索要证据,莫迪就会给这些人扣上“敌对国民”的帽子,把他们都遣送到巴基斯坦。一如既往,一句“相信我兄弟”,就是那些盲从的支持者想要的全部“证据”。
manchumuq
4.5%-5% is basically on par with previous years.
中国GDP设定4.5%到5%的增速,基本上和前几年持平。
Puntonghua
China’s economy in 1991 $334 billion, 2025 $20.28 trillion
1991年中国经济规模为3340亿美元,2025年GDP则达到20.28万亿美元。
botshelomoatshe3153
let me guess, its still bigger than those of all western countries
让我猜一下,它的规模还是比所有西方国家都大?
evilmiera
Well yes the entire world economy just fell over, makes sense
可不是嘛,全球经济都崩盘了,这么说倒也说得通。
joeletax7956
To give the correct perspective: The "lowest growth rate" in China is 5 to 10 times more than in Europe (0.5% to 1%)
客观来说,中国所谓的“最低增速”,也是欧洲(0.5%到1%)的5到10倍。
TheKkpop1
Global economy outlook is pessimistic in 2026. I expect higher inflation and very slow growth for all. Thank you Trump for messing up the world economy.
2026年全球经济前景不容乐观。我预计全球通胀率会上升,经济增长会极度缓慢。都怪特朗普把全球经济搞成了这样。
Breathe-h9u
Unsc has failed the world and China should partly bear the blame
For a country with so much economic leverage - not being able to prevent such imbecile wars by imbecile leaders - is really shameful on part of UNSC
Make UN Great Again
联合国让世界失望了,中国也该承担部分责任。作为一个拥有如此大经济影响力的国家,却没能阻止愚蠢的领导人发动这种愚蠢的战争,这对联合国来说实在是莫大的耻辱。让联合国重现辉煌吧!
kevinkwok4681
The title is ridiculous - it is if people were expecting high growth on China forever without realising the fact that China is now the second largest economy in the world. It is just natural and realistic to have decelerating growth for China as the economy size has gotten much bigger from decades ago.
这个标题太荒谬了——仿佛大家都指望中国永远保持高增长,却没意识到中国如今已是世界第二大经济体。几十年过去,中国经济体量大幅增长,增速有所放缓,这是再自然、再现实不过的事。
jip254-t9w
Chinese trolls are hilarious
中国的网络喷子真是太搞笑了。
apanaama3703
What a yimao comment. Better the horse carriage that's going to the nearby high speed rail station than horse drawn car that gets robbed leaving passengers to walk.
这评论真是荒谬。能驶向附近高铁站的马车,总比被抢劫、最后只能让乘客步行的马车要强吧。
trumpbuddha1053
US must divided into 50 independent countries if it wants to grow fast
美国若想快速发展,就必须分裂成50个独立的国家。
siaofong4920
You need to be open-minded: Please respect the choices of each country as much as you respect individuals, and please understand that every country is unique! What about de ocracy? Does it mean seizing resources and waging wars everywhere like the United States? Think about the development of India, a major de ocratic country, compared to the development of China, and think about the rapid development of Singapore, a small country. We are all on the path of growth
请保持开放的心态:请像尊重个人选择一样尊重各国的选择,要明白每个国家都是独一无二的!难道非得要像美国那样,到处掠夺资源、发动战争吗?看看印度这个皿煮大国的发展,再对比中国的发展,还有新加坡这个小国的快速崛起,我们都在各自的发展道路上前行。
xxoo-lp6vc
Transparency ?
2025, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated in November 2025 that October jobs and inflation data (CPI) would likely never be released
谈透明度?2025年11月,白宫新闻发言人卡罗琳·利夫特表示,10月份的就业数据和通胀数据(消费者价格指数)可能永远不会公布。
davidwong7655
When China's GDP is growing at a rate of more than 5 percent, the West says China is a threat/overcapacity to the world.
When China's GDP growth rate falls below 5 percent, the West says China is going to collapse.
中国GDP增速超过5%时,西方就说中国对世界构成威胁、产能过剩。中国GDP增速跌破5%时,西方又说中国要崩溃了。
xxoo-lp6vc
The IMF has indicated that Singapore's GDP growth is heavily reliant on China, with a 1 percentage point decline in Chinese growth potentially lowering Singapore's output by up to 2.1 percentage points over five years. Due to deep integration in global value chains, a slowdown in China significantly impacts Singapore’s trade and investment.
国际货币基金组织指出,新加坡的GDP增长高度依赖中国。中国经济增速每下降1个百分点,五年内新加坡的产出可能最多下降2.1个百分点。得益于全球价值链的深度融合,中国经济放缓会对新加坡的贸易和投资造成显著影响。
jasonsiu6368
Well use the word stagnant for China economy is inappropriate and misleading. Make audience think that CNA news report professionalism is at very concerning level
用“停滞不前”来形容中国经济,既不恰当也具有误导性。这会让观众认为新加坡亚洲新闻台的报道专业性存在严重问题。
Ty-v6v-c4r
If the audience are just realising that they are hopeless.
要是观众现在才意识到自己毫无希望,那也太晚了。
yongchen8204
If the world economy is in the turbulent, slower gdp for China might not be the bad thing. By increasing china internal economic consumption and prioritizing its own people’s needs is a good thing for the benefit of Chinese consumers .
如果全球经济动荡,中国GDP增速放缓或许并非坏事。扩大国内消费、优先满足本国人民的需求,对中国消费者而言是有益的举措。
ttkoh123
Singapore GDP number is regarded as BAD news for Singaporeans.
Singapore to take in between 25,000 and 30,000 new citizens a year over the next five years [Ref: ST 26 Feb 26].
So, before the next election, expect another over 100,000 new citizens.
TFR should be pegged into the formula of the ministers pay scale. Falling TFR means straight pay cut.
Unlike GDP — which can be propped up by mass immigration and tax-driven capital inflows — the TFR reflects how ordinary Singaporeans truly feel about their economic prospects. It's a harder number to spin.
对新加坡民众来说,新加坡的GDP数据堪称坏消息。未来五年,新加坡每年将吸纳2.5万至3万名新公民(来源:2026年2月26日《海峡时报》)。也就是说,下次大选前,还会有超过10万名新公民涌入。总和生育率(TFR)应该纳入部长薪资的计算公式。总和生育率下降,部长薪资就该直接下调。GDP可以通过大规模移民和税收引导的资本流入来推高,但总和生育率却能真实反映普通新加坡民众对自身经济前景的感受,这个数据很难被粉饰。
stefpeeters4137
lol, and what about the rest of the world ? Maybe focus all on your own economy in cae of being busy with Chinas economy. at least they are realistic and not cooking the numbers
哈哈,那世界其他国家呢?或许大家该先专注于本国经济,别总盯着中国的经济数据。至少他们很务实,不会篡改数据。
kevink3688
So the real GDP growth will be more like 3.5% to 4%..
所以实际的GDP增速大概是3.5%到4%吧。
ssuwandi3240
Don't worry the US import has officially shifted to friendly countries
别担心,美国的进口商品已经正式转向友好国家了。
jasonsiu6368
In that case USA is around 0-1%
照这么说,美国的增速大概只有0到1个百分点。
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