In Delhi, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, educated middle-class put off childbirth

在德里、喀拉拉邦和泰米尔纳德邦，受过教育的中产阶级推迟生育

NEW DELHI: India’s population for 2025 is estimated at 1.46 billion, says a new UN report, which also flagged a declining total fertility rate (TFR) in the world’s most populous country

The population is expected to grow to about 1.7 billion before it begins to fall, around 40 years from now, said the UN Population Fund’s (UNFPA) 2025 State of World Population Report released Tuesday. China’s population is estimated to touch 1.41 billion this year.

India’s population was 1.44 billion last year, according to World Population Prospects-2024, also a UN report, released in July last year.

新德里：联合国一份最新报告显示，印度2025年人口预计达14.6亿。这份报告同时指出，这个世界人口第一大国的总生育率正在下降。

联合国人口基金（UNFPA）周二发布的《2025年世界人口状况报告》称，印度人口预计将增长至约17亿，随后在40年左右开始下降。中国今年人口预计为14.1亿。

根据联合国去年7月发布的《世界人口展望-2024》报告，印度去年人口为14.4亿。

The UNFPA report showed India’s TFR has declined to 1.9, which is below the replacement level fertility of 2.1 births per woman, indicating women are having fewer children than needed to maintain the population size from one generation to the next.

It noted that while India has made significant progress in lowering fertility rate, deep inequalities persist across states, castes and incomes

Even as India's fertility rate is declining, many people in India, especially women, still face significant barriers to making free and informed decisions about their reproductive lives, says the UN Population Fund's State of World Population Report released Tuesday.

UNFPA报告显示，印度总生育率已降至1.9，低于维持人口代际更替所需的2.1（即每位女性需生育2.1个孩子），这意味着女性生育子女数量已不足以维持人口规模。

报告指出，尽管印度在降低生育率方面取得显著进展，但各州、种姓和收入群体间仍存在深刻的不平等。

联合国人口基金周二发布的报告称，即便印度生育率持续下降，许多印度人（尤其是女性）在对生育问题做出自由且知情的决定时，仍面临重大障碍。

以下是印度时报读者的评论：

Jsr
What about very high fertility and 4 wives at a time among one religion. These leftist jihadi slaves never talk about it.

某宗教里生育率极高，还能同时娶四个老婆，这怎么没人说？那些左翼圣战分子从来都不提。

Balachandran Nair V
That is the paradox in this country

这就是这个国家的矛盾之处。

User Tewari
I hate to say this but...as Caste and religious census...Government MUST publish population growth per religion and caste. Thus, an informed measures e.g. education etc put in place for high fertility groups.

虽然不想这么说，但关于种姓和宗教人口普查，政府必须公布各宗教和种姓的人口增长情况。这样才能针对高生育率群体采取措施。

Deje
You have freedom to choose your religion...so it's a very volatile data ...so no need to have that

你有选择宗教的自由，这数据变化很大，没必要做这个普查。

Balachandran Nair V
I agree and a balance in the rate of growth in every religion must be attained

我同意，必须让各宗教的人口增长率达到平衡。

Ravi Bala
1.46 billion is very high.

印度14.6亿人口太多了。

Balachandran Nair V
But if the growth rate fall in a huge manner a time will come when everyone are aged

如果增长率大幅下降，总有一天所有人都会变老。

Warrior
Implement 2 child policy strictly.Already all places in India are overcrowded.Dont know why government is still reluctant.

严格执行二孩政策吧。印度各地都已经人满为患了，真不知道政府为什么还犹豫。

Sandyeatsn
If what the couples in Ketala Delhi or TN are doing is across all religions, its not an issue. But everyone knows, ONE PIECEFOOL community never does this. Breeding is the only thing they know and nothing as well. Other things they hold mastery on is stone pelting kep their kids as shields in front of them..

如果喀拉拉、德里和泰米尔纳德邦的政策，能在所有宗教中推行，那就没问题。但大家都知道，有个“傻瓜群体”从来不这么做。他们只知道生孩子，别的啥也不会。其他擅长的就是用孩子当盾牌扔石头，

Bidhan Chandra Roy
India's Hindu fertility rate down as per UN report. This is the result of supporting girls education. Educated girls are interested in earning money and enjoy life without taking any child responsibility after marriage.

联合国报告说印度教徒的生育率下降了。这是支持女孩教育的结果。受过教育的女孩只想赚钱享受生活，婚后不想承担生养孩子的责任。

Bhakt Slayer
Here comes a patriarchal MCP.

大男子主义者来了。

aaaa bbbb
Caste census will clear that one community is trying to take over the country without any role just child birth

种姓普查会证明，有个群体只想靠生孩子来接管国家，别的啥也不做。

Shloka Bhatt
In de ocracy every person has a vote...if we are trying to takeover the political power in de ocratic way by increasing our population then its our right

皿煮国家人人都有选举权，如果我们想通过增加人口以皿煮方式获取政治权力，那是我们的权利。

Kvs Sarma
even without caste census it is openly evident. all cities are flooded by them.

就算没有种姓普查也很明显。所有城市都被他们挤满了。

Gidos
It’s not a goodsign & by this ratedesertcult will be taking a solidgrip on Indiccivilization again & even without anybullet&sword. So, rethink wisely.

这不是好兆头，照这个速度，沙漠宗教会再次牢牢控制印度文明，甚至不用一兵一卒。所以，好好想想吧。

Ayikousik
Good show..but the overall population needs trimming..Make a law that no male / female can have more than TWO living children at any point of their reproductive years irrespective of religion, caste, region..and ENFORCE the law STRICTLY..

干得好，但总体人口需要削减，制定法律，无论宗教、种姓、地区，任何男女在生育期最多只能有两个孩子，并严格执行。

Siva Subramaniam
The title should have been Hindu fertility down.

标题应该改成“印度教徒的生育率下降”。

Sriramalu Chandrasekaran
1 Well learned people always avoid children/pregnancy in India because of unemployment /insecurity/inflation /school admission/college admission /neglect of parents by children at old age /social problem etc
2 But the muslims/Scheduled class families are becoming larger every year . They have good breeding power . Apart from it the extra marital sexual contacts is high in cities . Public seldom use nirodh Majority have no mind control & are easy going
3 Now we are at 1.4 million . It is sufficient for the next 10 yrs . No addition Automatically the population will come to 1.2 Billion & every one will be happy
4 Pure Bhattachary people may be given incentive for foregoing marriage/sex in life
5 Family with one or two children is always better One man one wife is advisable /super . A man without steady income shall avoid marriage /sex

1 在印度，受过良好教育的人不愿意多生，因为担心失业、没有安全感、通货膨胀、入学难、孩子老了不赡养父母、社会问题等。

2 但msl/在册种姓家庭每年都在扩大，他们生育能力强。此外，城市里婚外性行为也很普遍，人们很少用避孕套，大多数人都管不住自己，随随便便。

3 现在我们有14亿人口，未来10年足够了。不再增加的话，人口会自动降到12亿，大家都会开心。

4 纯巴塔查里人如果放弃婚姻/性行为，可能会得到奖励。

5 有一两个孩子的家庭总是更好，一夫一妻最好。没有稳定收入的男人就不该结婚

Ashish Verma
Middle class and upper middle class is struggling a lot to meet their desired standards... they don't want to bring child to whom they can't provide appropriately... on the other hand lower classes and illiterates are breeding like mushrooms, leaving barrage of children for the wild world to feed them!

中产阶级和中上层阶级为了达到期望的生活水平挣扎不已，他们不想生养孩子，担心养不起。另一方面，下层阶级和文盲却像蘑菇一样疯狂生育，留下一大群孩子让社会去养！

Ram Nath
You write clearly that HINDHUS FERTILITY RATE DOWN due to worst reservation system

你明明该写印度教生育率下降是因为糟糕的预留制度。

User Pradhan
All India consolidated data is useless, since there are huge differences among the states and regions. This study should be done from state to state and policies directed towards that. UP and Bihar should continue to have aggressive birth control policies where as in states where it has fallen the replacement rates the approach should change from population control to population management

全印度的综合数据没用，因为各邦和地区差异太大。这项研究应该分邦进行，并据此制定政策。北方邦和比哈尔邦应该继续采取强硬的生育控制政策，而在生育率已低于更替水平的邦，政策应该从控制人口转向管理人口。

Ammu Bhai
india is already a failed country due to its over population..only rich people are having good quality life, rest all middle and lower are living a depressive life full of hardships tensions anger rage..even rich are planning to migrate to europe usa uae etc..so this article hardly has any meaning now..

印度人口过多，只有富人能过上高质量生活，其他中下层都过着充满艰辛、紧张、愤怒的压抑生活，就连富人都计划移民到欧洲、美国、阿联酋等，这篇文章几乎没什么意义了。

Gaana User
Every nook and corner there is alcohol shop. No daru no party culture. How will fertility increase? On top unemployment growing stress bound to impact physical health.

每个角落都有卖酒的商店。没有酒就没有派对文化，生育率怎么提高？再加上失业率上升，压力必然影响身体健康。

Jaya Keshavan
Only way to control Population is implement cap on monthly free ration distribution to Husband, wife and two children. If the Indian parent produce more children they have to earn and feed if the deliver more than 2 children.

控制人口的唯一办法是对丈夫、妻子和两个孩子的每月免费配给实行上限。如果印度父母生育超过两个孩子，就必须自己挣钱抚养。

Yamraj
The UNFPA report also mentions (which this article fails to mention) that the total fertility rate for Muslim women is 2.36, which remains the highest among religious groups in India.

联合国人口基金报告还提到（这篇文章没提），msl女性的总生育率为2.36，仍是印度各宗教群体中最高的。

Anil Chopra
But the punchure and scrap dealers guys are happy with one room house 4 wives and 14 children…..who needs AC….Car or foreign vacations，

补胎和收废品的人却很开心，一间房子，四个老婆，十四个孩子，谁需要空调、汽车或国外度假，

Sudesh Chandra Agarwal
Late parenting,jobs,home plans,few children,family stress of office hours, dependents,,is the reason.

晚育、工作、住房计划、少生孩子、工作时间的家庭压力、受抚养人，这些都是原因。

Monica
Raising children is expensive. There is a constant demand for smart phone on 6 months basis to impress friends. There is shortage of water. There is a shortage of amenities of life based on 2025 standards. Then there is entrapment of men, as we are reading in newspaper these day. Quality education has become expensive. It is difficult to manage children schedule. For the brats not wanting to study, their path to Trumpistan have become very difficult, as visa to study, and then stay in Trumpistan is no longer realistic.

养孩子很贵。为了在朋友面前有面子，每六个月就买新的智能手机。水资源短缺，按2025年的标准，生活设施也短缺。还有现在报纸上常看到的，男人被陷害的事。教育也变贵了，安排孩子的日程也很困难。对于不想学习的人来说，去“特朗普斯坦”的路也变得很难，如今美国的留学签证和在美国定居都不再现实。

SG
educated class population going down and third class people number going up. Thats the real challenge

受过教育的阶层人口在减少，底层人口在增加，这才是真正的挑战。

fmntwvtt
Ankita, can you please caculate and let India know what “Few Years” means. Is it 10-20 years or 100-200 years? Please don’t look communal angle in evry news. Let all of us work together for our country to grow.

你能算一算告诉印度“几年”到底是多少年吗？是10-20年还是100-200年？请不要每条新闻都从社群角度看问题。让我们一起为国家发展努力吧。

Bharath Selvan
Educated states like Kerala and Tamil Nadu is well off - Not only in Population control but in all KPI's. Same goes with South Indian states. North Indian states are pulling India down. Very bad

像喀拉拉邦和泰米尔纳德邦这样的教育发达邦过得很好——不仅在人口控制方面，在所有关键绩效指标上都是如此。南印度各邦也是如此。北印度各邦正在拖印度的后腿，太糟糕了。

Bichu Vich
but population jihad is still very high

人口圣战仍然很严重。

Venky
Bhimaru states are still growing at more than 2.3 TFR . They are already densely populated and poor. Unless they reduce TFR to 2 then there is no hope for India’s gdp percapita to rise.

“虚弱”的邦生育率仍超过2.3，这些邦已经人口密集且贫穷。除非他们把生育率降到2，否则印度人均GDP没有希望提高。

Sonsen
Which one is better: couple with two children or 1 4 and five children?

哪种更好：有两个孩子的夫妻，还是有四五个孩子的？

Dhiren Pethani
it's good that education atleast educated people to control the birth rate moreover it's good for the economy too as the living standards are higher so small family lives a happy family always

教育至少让人们学会了控制出生率，这很好，而且对经济也有好处，因为生活水平提高了，小家庭总是过得幸福。

Vanshhdeep Bhardwaj
Too little too late now, 1.44 billion people - OMG! It will take at least 100-200 urs before we can find some balance.

现在太晚了，14.4亿人——我的天！至少需要100-200年才能找到某种平衡。

Gaana User
In your dreams. Reduce alcohol your fertility will increase.

你做梦吧。少喝酒，生育率就会提高。

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