World’s food supply faces new threat from lack of rain in India


NEW DELHI: Rice could emerge as the next challenge for global food supply as a shortage of rain in parts of India, by far the world’s biggest exporter, has caused planting area to shrink to the smallest in about three years.


The threat to India’s rice production comes at a time when countries are grappling with soaring food costs and rampant inflation. Total rice planted area has declined 13% so far this season due to a lack of rainfall in some areas, including West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh, which account for a quarter of India’s output.




Traders are worried that a drop in rice production will complicate India’s inflation fight and trigger restrictions on exports. Such a move will have far-reaching implications for the billions of people that depend on the staple. India accounts for 40% of global rice trade, and the government has already curbed wheat and sugar exports to safeguard food security and control local prices.



The jump in India’s rice prices reflect concern about output. Prices of some varieties have soared more than 10% in the past two weeks in major growing states such as West Bengal, Odisha and Chhattisgarh due to deficient rain and increased demand from Bangladesh, said Mukesh Jain, a director at Se Enterprises Pvt., a rice shipper. Export prices may climb to $400 a ton by September from as much as $365 now on a free-on-board basis, he said.

印度大米价格的跃升反映了对产量的担忧。大米托运公司Se Enterprises Pvt.的董事穆克什·贾恩说,过去两周,在西孟加拉邦、奥里萨邦和恰蒂斯加尔邦等主要大米种植区,一些大米品种的价格飙升了10%以上,原因是雨水不足和孟加拉国的需求增加。他说,到9月,出口价格可能从目前的每吨365美元(离岸价)攀升至400美元。

Most of the world’s rice is grown and consumed in Asia, making it vital for political and economic stability in the region. In contrast to the surge in wheat and corn prices after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, rice has been subdued due to ample production and stockpiles, hel to ward off a bigger food crisis.


Much is riding on the rice crop in India and the monsoon’s progress. Some agricultural scientists are optimistic that there’s still time to continue planting and make up for some of the shortfall. Rain is forecast to be normal for August to September, which may improve crop output.




Jayachandran Menon

We have still time of rains. Fairly good rainfall in the south overall. Hope if we restrict exports ,our rice requirements and inflation will be safe.




Let us first stop biofuel allocation.



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Now the free bee Netas and rice bags will say Modi is responsible for shortage of rain. Another Neta says it is Foreign hand that is causing floods in his state,!



Always Sach

Our IMD predicted normal rain, change the weather man first. South as usual, has more rains.



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Total rice planted areas has decreased for sure. Not because of insufficient rain but because of other reasons. May be affordability of crop cultivation issue



User Kumar

Everywhere there are floods and Bloomberg goons get information that there is less rainfallll.........whats that




putting a fullstop for converting the agricultural land to non agricultural activities like develo vast agricultural land into residential layouts



Eye Star

After many years South Bengal facing shortage of rain and so it is hammering rice production specially those varieties which are very popular In neighboring countries



Prakki Sayamurty

The whole problem is the growth of rice-consuming population in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Indonesia and neighboring countries. Their cities are growing and cultivable land is diminishing. Rainfall variability always exsted. Climate change is caused by anthropic activity which is proportional to the population.




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“Poverty is just a state of mind” said the then ruling party’s Congress vice president Rahul Gandhi in August 2013



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Mass deforestation, lack of regard for the environment and illitrate and corrupt politicians in policy making positions have lead to this disaster

大规模的森林砍伐,对环境的破坏,以及在决策岗位上的文盲腐 败政客导致了这场灾难


Anish Kumar

What happened to the project to connect rivers so that excess water in one part of the country could be diverted to areas where rainfall is less. So much rain water is wasted and flows uselessly into the sea. When are we going to learn rain water harvesting?






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Our people here have learned to blame anything and everything on modi. It is as if india has taken respinsibility to feed world’s hunger. One has to blame him if sufficient food is not avaiable to this ever bulging pooulation. Hatsoff to this article.


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If he doesn't want to blamed, he should take his Jhola and go. No one forced him to become PM.



Mohar Sanyal

It has been reported that rain is deficient to the extent of 40 p.c. in gangetic west Bengal, and hence affected paddy sowing , which is a significant rice producer. This cannot be fully made up, even if the rainfall compensates in the second half of the monsoon . So the fact is of great concern.





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Why blame only rain. Why not stop rising population and converting farm land in to residential and Industrial area?




Rice procurement stopped by center is also a major culprit as Rice bowls of India (Southern States) are advised not to plant rice due to non purchase by great minds ruling India



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The threat to world's food supply must be signal from nature about the begng of the arrival of climate change. People must not depend on water based food grains and must become accustomed to consume food grains that are available as substitute for rice and wheat. But incidentally they are healthier also.




Vishal Raj

Bihar should stop sending vegetables and crops out of state and Jharkhand should stop all minerals supply out of state.




Stop selling to CHINA , problem solved.


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