未来十年属于印度经济？

India: Economy of the Decade?

未来十年属于印度经济？

Economies around the world have been changing decade to decade. It is hard to predict where a country will reach at the end of the decade. But if the ball is in the court, and is played right, well then the game will be yours. Similarly, at this point of time India really has the opportunity, and things could really become great if they play it right.

世界各地的经济体每十年都在变化。很难预测一个国家在这个十年结束后会达到什么水平。但如果球在场上，而且打得好，那么比赛将属于你。同样，在这个时候，印度真的有机会，如果处理得当，未来真的会很美好。

If you look back, India has really evolved over the years. From the year 1991 India started to open up its economy to the rest of the world. Specific changes included reducing import tariffs, deregulating markets, and reducing taxes. This led to an increase in foreign investment and high economic growth in the 1990s and 2000s. From 1992 to 2005, foreign investment increased 316.9%, This was a major boost for India's growing middle class. In a similar time frame, the government also started huge subsidies for rural India. This resulted in creating a huge consumer sector both in urban and rural India. Higher FDI and consumer sector reflected the country's GDP, From 2003 to 2007 India consistently growing at 7% to 8% annually. And overall India's GDP grew from $266 billion in 1991 to $2.8 trillion in 2019.

如果回顾过去，你会发现印度多年来确实在进步。从1991年开始，印度开始向世界开放经济。具体的变化包括降低进口关税、解除市场管制和减税。这促成了90年代和21世纪初外国投资的增加和经济的高速增长。从1992年到2005年，外国投资增长了316.9%，这对印度不断壮大的中产阶级是一个重大推动。同期，印度政府也开始为印度农村地区提供巨额补贴。这在印度城乡都创造了庞大的消费需求。更高的外国直接投资和消费者部门反映了该国的GDP，从2003年到2007年，印度一直以每年7%到8%的速度增长。印度的GDP从1991年的2660亿美元增长到2019年的2.8万亿美元。

One major reason behind this economic growth is sudden boom in country's service sector. The services sector is not only the dominant sector in India’s GDP, but has also attracted significant foreign investment and It contributes more than half of countries' GDP. Unlike other countries where the trend is economic transition from agriculture to industry to services, in India it is directly shifting more toward services rather than the industrial sector. India’s competitive advantage formed by the knowledge-based services makes it a unique emerging market in the world, and attracts many investments in the country. With the growing tech, and IT industry in India, the services sector in India still has lots of potential to unlock a multi-trillion dollar opportunity in future.

这种经济增长背后的一个主要原因是该国服务业的繁荣。服务业不仅是印度GDP的主导部门，还吸引了大量外国投资，贡献了该国GDP的一半以上。其他国家的趋势是经济从农业转向工业，再转向服务业，而印度的道路是直接转向服务业，而不是工业部门。印度以知识为基础的服务业所形成的竞争优势，使其成为世界上一个独特的新兴市场，并吸引了许多投资。随着印度科技和IT行业的发展，印度的服务业在未来仍有很大的发展潜力。

So to sum it all up, we can say the ball is in India's court. But they will only win the game if they could get over the challenges and play it right. The country has a huge opportunity to grow upon their demographic divident, like China did in the past.

Now what is your perspective about India, Will they really win over this decade? Well tell us in the comments below.

总而言之，我们可以说球在印度的球场上。他们只有在克服挑战并正确应对的情况下才能赢得比赛。就像中国过去所做的那样，这个国家有很大的机会发展。现在你对印度的看法是什么？他们真的会在这十年中获胜吗?

以下是Youtube上印度网民的评论：

Mark Trinidad

India has a long way to go. They need to be pragmatic on their policies so to provide jobs to more Indians entering the workforce and be independent and not be easily swayed on their policies due to US pressure. Wish them more growth though as any Asian growth helps the whole region as a whole to grow.

印度还有很长的路要走。他们需要在政策上务实一些，为更多进入劳动力市场的印度人提供就业机会，保持独立，不要因为美国的压力而轻易动摇自己的政策。希望印度能迎来更多的增长，亚洲任何一个国家的增长都有助于整个地区的增长。

33_10A_Soham Nerurkar

Also in the video you mentioned India's industrial output accounts to 16% of GDP which is wrong it is 27% India's agricultural output accounts for 16% of GDP

视频中提到印度的工业产出占GDP的16%，这是错误的，是27%，印度的农业产出占GDP的16%

Kinz Kinzard

India will not take China route, it'll make a QUANTUM leap. It will go straight into Digital and electronics and other high tech where all the money is at, while all the jobs will be generated due to logistical infrastructure like roads, bridges, railways and more.

印度不会走中国的路线，印度会实现巨大飞跃。这些资金将直接流向数字、电子和其他高科技领域，而所有的工作岗位将由道路、桥梁、铁路等后勤基建行业产生。

33_10A_Soham Nerurkar

India's plans have somewhat slowed down because of the Pandemic but in my opinion all the goals and targets set by the government will be achieved in said time since we will reach pre-pandemic levels of economy by Q2 2022 we will then focus on expanding it

由于疫情，印度的计划在一定程度上放缓了，在我看来，印度政府设定的所有目标都将在上述时间内实现，我们将在2022年第二季度达到疫情前的经济水平，然后我们将努力扩大经济规模

Shubham Thakur

India is moving toward this only. Atmnitbhar bharat, start up india, production linked incentive scheme, dedicated freight corridors, disinvestment etc are moves towards creating India a manufacturing hub.

印度正朝着这个方向前进。印度自力更生、生产激励计划、专用货运走廊、撤资等举措，都是为了把印度打造为制造业中心。

Bose

Yes India will succeed but it needs some time

是的，印度会成功，但需要一些时间

Travel Theory

India will become a manufacturing superpower in 2025. Jai Hind! Victory to India!

印度将在2025年成为制造业超级大国。印度比胜！

Abhijith Byju

India is a head of decades than other countries in digital transaction

在数字交易领域，印度领先其他国家几十年

Sourav Sharma

Dedicated freight corridors and expressways along will help boost infrastructure and supply chain. PLI schemes in manufacturing has started showing good results as many renowned manufacturers have come for component level manufacturing. India already has software power but now same thing will be done in manufacturing sector. It is just a matter of time

专用货运走廊和高速公路将有助于加强基础设施和供应链。生产激励计划在制造业已经开始显示良好的效果，许多知名制造商已经来组装。印度已经有了软件实力，但现在制造业也要发展起来。这只是时间问题

Raunak Shukla

We want to see India as 10 Trillion dollar nominal GDP in 2030...

2.5 Trillion Exports per year...

3 Trillion Forex reserve....

Let's be hopeful...

Let's trust India...

Jai Hind...

希望看到印度的名义GDP在2030年达到10万亿美元…

每年2.5万亿美元的出口…3万亿美元的外汇储备....

让我们充满希望……让我们相信印度……印度必胜！

ravise7en

So much of thus transformation has occurred in the last decade, because of the direct intervention of Modi. Not fanboying here, but the man genuinely deserves credit for laying emphasis on infrastructure, especially power and roads, UPI and opening a bank account for every indian. The basic work to bring decades of growth has been laid, and hopefully India will reap the benefits from thus decade on.

由于莫迪的直接干预，在过去10年里，印度出现了巨大变化。我不是莫迪的粉丝，但他确实值得赞扬，他重视基础设施，尤其是电力和道路，UPI，并为每个印度人开了一个银行账户。为接下来的数十年增长奠定了基础，希望印度将从未来十年中获益。

Pankaj Sahu

This decade is for South Asia, particularly India, Vietnam and Bangladesh. India gaining its old glory, an Ara before 1820

未来十年是南亚的十年，特别是属于印度、越南和孟加拉国。印度将重拾1820年以前的古老荣耀

Game Factor

Meanwhile Indians: We do more online transactions then Americans we use Paytm,Phone pe etc. More than 85% Americans use card Still.

印度人的线上交易比美国人更多的，我们使用Paytm、Phone pe等。超过85%的美国人仍然使用信用卡。

Arya

India:- I have total 2.8 trillion GDP

World:- What is Per Capita GDP not total?

印度：我的GDP总量是2.8万亿美元

世界：干嘛说总量，怎么不说说人均多少?

जय श्री राम

This year we are having a 10% growth in GDP and next year it will be 12%, Export will also cross $400 billion in this year, I know this is low but we will cross 1 trillion dollar export in 2024

今年我们的GDP将增长10%，明年将增长12%，今年的出口也将超过4000亿美元，我知道这个数字很低，但到2024年我们的出口将超过1万亿美元

ANAND SRINIVASAN

Anyone who reads this just do ur best for your country and the rest will happen on its own!!!!

任何一个读到这篇文章的印度人只要为你的国家尽最大的努力，一切都会水到渠成

Utkarsh Tiwari

I will make it a win game.

我会赢得这场比赛的

Korab Kanwar

But people protest against every reform here

人们反对印度的每一项改革

Rolls Royce

I think India's decade will be 2040-2050