India's diplomatic standing and international reach. India has been uninvolved in many international conflicts and also has relatively little po itical influence on other countries (despite being the third largest contributor to UN Peacekee Forces worldwide). This may start changing as India's economy and international trade grow. The big diplomatic prize would be an enhanced status in the UN. India is arguing for a permanent seat in the UN Security Council, but any UN SC reform seems impossible in the next five years. Some changes may become realistic by 2025, especially after major po itical upheavals that some predict for this timeframe. A UN reform is looking more likely by 2050, especially if 20 years pass without major conflicts. Here, the key for India is to wisely navigate between other world powers, make good bets, avoid major pitfalls, while contributing to the world peace in essential and unique ways. The current conflict with Pakistan is a serious shackle, as it confines India to the status of a regional power and limits India's support among Mus m nations (India's collaboration with Israel on defense matters is another issue for Mus m nations).
The rule of three. I'd like to postulate that there can be at most three global superpowers on this planet (with more comparable powers, each will hold too little sway to count as a superpower). There is little doubt that the US will remain a superpower, even if 's economy becomes larger. As of 2025, the EU will likely become the second global superpower, and some may argue that it already is (the EU economy is currently larger than the US economy, the EU definitely has global po itical, diplomatic and economy-related reach, while enjoying two seats on the UN Security Council, etc). It is not clear if there will be a third superpower, especially that the US and the EU are so tightly allied in most regards. But the main candidates are and India (Russia's economy is way too small, and its global reach has significantly shrunk in 2014-2015 due to po itical adventurism and bad bets, while the overall trajectory remains negative). Both and India have limited global reach today, and both are trying to reach the status of developed economies. Both need to provide better education to their citizens, improve their legal/enforcement sy ems and cut down co ption. Both have questionable human-s records, although India seems in a better shape. Both have thorny relations with some of their neighbors that are unlikely to get resolved. has a head start on the economy size, while India has a head start on the po itical sy em. In the short-term, economy is more tangible, but in the long term the po itical sy em is at least as important (as this is critical to fing the legal sy em, setting up effective law enforcement, and rooting out co ption).
So, will or India be the third superpower? Or neither?
140.2k Views · 3,291 Upves · Answer requested by Kushagra Sharma
Rishabh Raj Jha, Indian by birth.
Answered Jul 2
Will India ever become a superpower ?
As long as the reservation sy em prevails
If reservation sy em ends
If everyone does their own job instead of putting their nose in someone else’s business
Ernest W. Adams, keen but teur observer of geopo itics.
Answered Jan 28, 2016
Being a superpower means being able to project force just about anywhere. I am inclined to think that, unless its rivalry with gets out of hand, India won't go down that road. The problem isn't a lack of ability or resources, but a question of where India's resources are best spent. Right now, India has no need for seven or eight aircraft carrier battle groups. It has other, better things to do with its money.