三泰虎

印媒预测10年后的印度

Where might India be 10 years from now?

10年后,印度会如何

India 2025 will be the world's most populous nation, with a population of just under 1.5 billion, a little ahead of China. Gandhiji's famous statement that "India lives in her villages" will remain true with under 40% of the population in urban areas. Agriculture will remain the mainstay of employment with over 40% still dependent on it even as its share of economic activity continues to shrink.

2025年的印度会是世界人口最多的国家,人口接近15亿,稍微领先中国。甘地著名的话,“印度生活在农村”仍然会是对的,到时40%的人口生活在城里。农业仍然是就业支柱,超过40%的人口仍然依赖农业,虽然农业占经济活动的份额持续萎缩。

Literacy will rise significantly to over 80%, but that will still leave about one in five adults illiterate. At least 2.6% of all children born will die within their first year, but life expectancy will cross 70 for both genders. The fertility rate — the number of children born to a woman — will fall just below two, making us a nation of "hum do, hamaare do" decades after the slogan was conceived.

识字率会显著上升到80%以上,也就是5名成年人中仍然有一人是文盲。至少2.6%的新生儿在第一年夭折,而印度的人均预期寿命会超过70岁。生育率会下降到2以下。

Some of this sounds depressing, but on the economic front, rapid strides would have been made. Gross domestic product (GDP) will touch neary $8 trillion, almost four times the current level, and the addition to the GDP in the decade will be nearly thrice the amount added in the 68 years since Independence. With population growth slowing down, this will also mean per capita incomes rise about four-fold to $6,000.

有些听起来令人压抑。而经济层面,会取得快速进步。GDP会接近8万亿美元,几乎是目前的4倍。未来十年的GDP增长会是独立以来68年GDP增量的3倍。随着人口增速的放缓,人均GDP会增至4倍,达到6000美元。

India's integration with the global economy will be even higher with trade in goods and services accounting for nearly two-thirds of GDP. The average Indian will consume over four times the power she does today.

印度与全球经济会进一步整合,商品和服务贸易占到GDP的三分之二。

Internet users will account for anywhere between 50% and 80% of the populace. The market for passenger cars will be around 7.2 million a year, currently the size of the US market. Over 320 million people will travel by air within the country each year, meaning nearly a million Indians will take to the skies each day.

网民人数将会占到总人口的50%至80%之间。乘用车市场规模会达到一年720万辆,相当于美国目前的市场规模。

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以下是《印度时报》读者的评论:


译文来源:三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/2016030102.html
外文地址:http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/budget-2016/union-budget-2016/Where-might-India-be-10-years-from-now/articleshow/51201965.cms



Rajeev S

And Sonia Gandhi and clan will be in Italy hiding.

索尼娅甘地及其跟班到时候会去意大利藏起来的

 
Appa Durai
india should have more emphasis on human resource deveopment. educational institutions should be liberated from caste politics

印度应加强人力资源发展,把教育机构从种姓政治中解放出来

 
Nageswara Rao

very nice to read and hopefully will be true

看着就开心,希望能成真

 
prafull.ambekar

In ten years time, India would be like Syria or Pakistan and Afghanistan

10年后,印度会成为叙利亚、巴基斯坦或阿富汗

 
Sainath Kalpathy

Indian after 10 years, specially farmers will be in DARKNESS within the village that has POWER, will send MMS ( photo version of SMS) to PM his eating GRASS as he shall have DIGITAL world at his mercy but NO FOOD ! He will send his son to City or even US after selling his land to Adani or Ambani and dream of settling in US after 10 years ! wonderful INDIA !

10年后,农民会生活在黑暗中,给总理发信息说正在吃草

把土地卖给阿达尼或阿巴尼后,送儿子进城里,或者送儿子去美国,然后梦想着10年后定居美国!

奇妙的印度!

 
sureshachar

What will you do GDP 8 trillion, should not aim for GDP alone, standard of living of people should be increased.
Look at UK, their GDP is less than ours, but can you compare anything with them?

8万亿GDP怎么用

不能只盯着GDP啊,而是要提高人民的生活水平

瞧英国,他们的GDP比我们少,但是你有什么能和他们比的吗?

 
Cozy Heart

India in 10 yrs will be in 2026.

10年后是2026年啊

 
Ruhidas Takur
Please give me a telescope to watch 2025.... ( if possible a microscope too ).

请给我一部望远镜,让我观察2025年的印度...(可能的话,也给一部显微镜)

 
B Shanbhag

Then our children demand few 1000 rupee note as pocket money. 100 rupee will have very little purchase value. The GDP rise will not be commensurate with the inflation.Wish future generation gets better deal.

到时候,我们的孩子要的零花钱可是上千卢比,到时候100卢比很少了

 
jkv
India - 2 hours ago

The govt must bring rules to control the population. Like the two child norms

政府务必制定控制人口的政策,比如只能生两胎

 
Holy Monkey

Gang rapes will probably increase ten fold. No toilets either. Beggars/ Fakirs asking for aid from Iran.

轮奸可能会增加10倍,到时候还是没有厕所

 
Sanjay

What about happiness?

幸福感如何?

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