原文标题：Why India can’t afford to annoy China
United States Defence Secretary Leon Panetta made some interesting pronouncements on the New Delhi leg of his Asian tour last week, including the offer of much closer defence cooperation (as in joint development of weapons, which India already does with Russia and Israel).
His statements suggested an American embrace that goes beyond all previous offers, and tied in with the “re-balancing” of US forces in Asia: putting 60 per cent of US naval assets in the Asia-Pacific region (as against 50 per cent now).
According to some observers, the US now sees India as having the potential to become its most important partner in a developing Asian security scenario that looks increasingly like a China containment policy.
There are good reasons to welcome the US initiatives, but also to throw cold water on excessive expectations. First, no Asian country (India included) will want to get into a US embrace that risks annoying China. India’s primary dispute with China is with regard to the land border.
While Washington can sell India its weapons (light howitzers and heavy transport aircraft are already on order) and in general help to bolster its defence capabilities, it can do little if fighting erupts in Ladakh or Arunachal Pradesh; India will be on its own, and will, therefore, consider it important to avoid risking conflict by continuing to project a policy of strategic autonomy.
Cooperate with the US by all means and in every way possible, but not at the expense of the relationship with China.
Even the small countries of Southeast Asia, which have traditionally welcomed a US security blanket, and which have territorial disputes with China, look over their shoulders at Beijing when they talk to Washington.
China has already become their largest trading partner, replacing the US; it could eventually overtake the US as the leading naval power in the region.
The US has about 100 major warships in the region; that number will not climb beyond 110 even after the “re-balancing” that is proposed. China, meanwhile, is expected to go from 86 major warships in 2009 to 106 by 2020, and these will be operating from nearer their bases.
One ship can, of course, be very different from another in capability, but no Asian country is going to be immune to the fact of growing Chinese naval power at a time when the US defence budget is shrinking.
Indeed, some East Asian countries think the US is making too much of its “re-balancing”. No East Asian country will relish being asked to choose between Beijing and Washington, even though it may be wary of China’s growing power.
Ironically, the doubts about the effectiveness of the US military presence in the region could work to America’s advantage, as countries all the way from Japan to India take greater responsibility for their own security. Across the region, countries are busy rearming and bolstering defence spending, all of them responding to growing Chinese military capability and pressure. The end result could be a more effective containment of China’s territorial expansionism than anything that the US could hope to do on its own.
CHINA IS STILL OCCUPYING A BIG CHUNK OF OUR HIMALAYAN LAND
by M A (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 09:59 AM
CHINA IS STILL OCCUPYING A BIG CHUNK OF OUR HIMALAYAN LAND AFTER THAT HUMILIATING DEFEAT IN 1962. EVEN AFTER 50 YEARS, OUR GOVT HAS NOT LEARN’T TO DEAL FIRMLY WITH CHINA. THEIR CREEPING ENCROACHMENT IS A REALITY BUT OUR SPINELESS COWARD CORRUPT UPA GOVT IS SO MUCH SHIT SCARED OF CHINA, THAT IS HAS NOT EVEN PREPARED TO RAISE THE ISSUE WITH THEM AND PERPETUALLY IN DENIAL MODE, TRYING TO FOOL US AND GETTING FOOLED THEMSELVES! THE ITALIAN QUEEN AND FAMILY IS ONLY INTERESTED TO ENMASS BLACK MONEY IN SWISS BANKS AND ALSO CHINESE BANKS!
india need not care about china
by csng (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 08:57 AM
India can have friendship with any one on its own terms without caring about what others think.
It need not care about China or Pakistan for that matter.
The author seems to be a communist stooch.
Cmon man have some respect for yourself and your country.
The Beauty and the Beast
by Sam (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 07:53 AM
The Beauty and the Beast
by om shanti (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 07:32 AM
SINO VIETNAM HIGHWAY
The first highway linking Southwest China’s Yunnan province and Vietnam will open to traffic next year.
The 600-km journey from Kunming, capital of Yunnan, to Hanoi, capital of Vietnam, will be reduced to six to seven hours from 12-plus hours,as reported in Chinese media.
China and Vietnam will be connected by highway once construction on a 250-km expressway is finished in Vietnam, and linking the countries via highway will greatly reduce transportation costs and boost the regional economy.
China and Vietnam started upgrading local expressways and roads to connect the cross-border highway in 2008 and 2009, respectively, the department said.
The highway is part of Yunnan’s Bridgehead Strategy, which aims to build a social and economic corridor toward South Asia and Southeast Asia. The mountainous province borders Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam.
Three other cross-border highways leading to Thailand, Myanmar and India are also under construction.
by knowthe reason (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 09:14 PM | Hide replies
writer seems to be lacking in self confidence…
Re: what rubbish
by kunjan shah (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 12:38 AM
china must be democratic. only then world will prosper
Re: Re: what rubbish
by om shanti (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 07:32 AM
Compared to India,China is democratic.Donot be misguided by absence of useless elections to elect_thugs.
Re: Re: what rubbish
by madhu sudan p (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 09:53 AM
What India has achieved beeing democratic nation ?
Are we good in Science and Technology like Chinese ?
by Das (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 04:43 PM | Hide replies
Here are the real reasons: utter lack of accountability, family run nation, rampant corruption directly stemming from outdated, despotic and parochial policies, inequality in the rule of law, ad hoc decision making and lack of work ethic. These are of course to a large extent interconnected. The resulting economic malaise, supervised by the elderly PM, means lack of resources for creating necessary formidable defence.
by LightisTruth (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 12:53 AM
WHY U MAKING IT SO COMPLEX?
SIMPLY BLAME IN 1 WORD:
by arungopal agarwal (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:54 PM | Hide replies
India always had two great weaknesses, 1. not dare enough any time to attack except Hari Singh Nalwa(Maharaja Ranjit singh time) 2. India never had good weapenary.
India is sufferring with these two weaknesses even today.
Actually India is afraid of China.
by kunjan shah (View MyPage) on Jun 12, 2012 12:39 AM
china just needs to be a democracy. its not our enemy.
by tls mani (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:38 PM
Remember chaacha & Hindi cheeni Bhai Bhai.
What foresight of greatwise leader
by om shanti (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:34 PM
So long India remains a bold sovereign nation,there is no immidiate threat to India.
Whenever it becomes a stooge,it will also become a sacrificial_lamb ? Can USA rescue their helper the doctor who helped them track Osama Bin Laden.If USA cannot protect one man from 33 years of imprisonment,what will it protect India ?
Finally,USA has to depend on China for funds to meet its debt gap.China is the bank of the world today and USA is the self appointed Police man.
We can place ourself either as an informer_of the police or as a sovereign_power.Decision is ours.
by tls mani (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:33 PM | Hide replies
India cannot afford to annoy even the Muslim hawkers on streets annoying china is a dream that can never be true
by Samir Bhagwat (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 04:35 PM
True. with a weak and brutal (towards its own citizens)administration, we are in no state to face china.
China wants to establish its Supremacy over india
by Sharad Gupta (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:17 PM | Hide replies
Its Incorrect to say that India’s primary dispute with China is with regard to the land border. Its A Game of superiority
by Samir Bhagwat (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:06 PM
should be the next superpower. It will stem the onslaught of the Crusaders and their rivals.
Life wud be hell at china.
by Subrata Das (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 01:28 PM | Hide replies
India shud learn from its neighbour how to irritate others. So india must take the same policy for china. But chinese govt shud return back the land at Aru.pra. acquired at the time of war1962, otherwise normal life of china cud be a great danger without any war.
Re: Life wud be hell at china.
by PRK kulkarni (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 02:51 PM
Only corrupt free,Dynamic Indian leadership can challenge china not the nautanki cong.
Leon Panetta’s Offer
by Kaniarakath George (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:15 PM | Hide replies
India need all, not against anybody but for all nations. Peace an stability with human development are our aims. We need technology more than arms as deterent and that’s welcome from anybody. George Kaniarakath
Re: Leon Panetta’s Offer
by A INDIANBROTHERHOOD (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:17 PM
we need modi like man to disturb and divide the country to face china
Re: Re: Leon Panetta’s Offer
by Samir Bhagwat (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:23 PM
The congress is doing a superb job in disturbing and dividing the country on communal and caste lines
India can embrace US, but can’t afford to annoy China
by Typhoid Mary (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:22 PM
What dreckish news is this? Tell me, can india with a pettycoat govt helming affiars, afford to raise even maldive’s dander, let’s not talk about china? However, please note, no prizes for guessing!!
BJP and co.
by Chalta Hai (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:22 PM | Hide replies
These politicians which are categorized as far-right have a similar tendency:
1. They can not tolerate criticism
2. They can not respect women and in this case this young man is seen hitting a old woman.
3. They show hyper nationalism
4. They can not stop abusing and spreading lie
It happens in India too and in a big way. When they run out of arguments, they first abuse your thinking and then your family. These politicians which are categorized as far-right have a similar tendency:
Re: BJP and co.
by Samir Bhagwat (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 04:40 PM
every point you mentioned especially no. 2 (the old woman killed in Ramdev’s meeting) applies to the congriess and not BJP
DEAR PRIME MINISTER
by Chalta Hai (View MyPage) on Jun 11, 2012 03:15 PM | Hide replies
Mr. Manmohan Singh, Sir, You are an economist par excellence.. You might act when the West economy is plummeted while you have the opportunity to act now and provide biggest boost to India’s economy. One of the biggest culprits in keeping Indian economy in uncertainty is the volatility in the oil prices. Here is a tip off to fix this irritant once for all. The West is dwindling and sliding down on a fast slippery slope. Future belongs to Asian Goliaths – Pakistan, India and China. Who can know this better than YOU, Sir Ji?
India and Pakistan China together would form what would be world’s biggest ever trading block and a salivating marketplace. The oil rich Iran and the Middle East is ideally placed for both sides to interact with mutual bilateral trade. China will soon learn, as did the US before, that there is no substitute to M-E for supply of oil on both cost and price levels. Peace and friendship between India and China would automatically embrace Pakistan in the tie up. America is shooting in its foot with its in vain adventurism with ran and Afghanistan. It is trade that is now the driving force. Furthermore, China is sitting with world’s largest foreign exchange reserve while Pakistan’s economy is growing faster than America, India can have it for the asking. The oil producers would lay networks of oil pipelines and set up oil refineries throughout the Indo China land mass.