Do you think India can develop like the USA?
你觉得印度能像美国一样发达吗?
以下是Quora网友的评价:
Shrinivas S
The data i post below, can be verified online.
US GDP - $26.854 trillion (nominal; 2023 est.).
Whereas India is $3.75 trillion
World GDP is $112.6 trillion in 2023.
Basically US is approx 24% of the world whereas India is a mere 3.33% of the world. This despite the Indian population of 1.42 billion vs US population of 334 million, thus the US has just 23.4% of India’s population. This means an average American (this doesn’t work out like Marxsm however in real life) has approx. 30X the per capita income on “nominal GDP” basis.
More GDP per capita is a better indicator of strength of the economy.
下面我列的所有数据都可以在网上得到核实。
美国GDP - 26.854万亿美元(名义GDP,2023年)。
印度GDP - 3.75万亿美元。
2023年世界GDP总额为112.6万亿美元。
美国约占世界的24%,而印度仅占世界的3.33%。印度人口高达14.2亿,美国人口只有3.34亿,美国人口仅占印度人口的23.4%。这意味着一个普通的美国人按“名义GDP”计算的人均收入是印度人的30倍。
人均GDP高,才是衡量经济实力的指标。
It gets worse. US is approx. 9.834 million km² and India is only 3.287 million km². Which means, US is roughly ~3X (slightly less than 3, 2.98 or so) larger than India; however as it has just 23.4% the per capita land availability in the US is roughly 12.75 times.
It gets even worse. US has an estimated 4.3 percent of the world's population yet contains more than 7 percent of global renewable freshwater resources. India accounts for 18% of the world's population and about 4% of the world's water resources. This means an average American has over 8X per capita water availability and this is not including fresh water that can be made available by the friendly “colony” to the north for the USA. Whereas India is facing a dire disaster due to it’s continued MSP culture for growing cereals like Rice in place like Punjab and Haryana which do not even consume it and for not having inter-linked it’s rivers.
美国的国土面积大约是983.4万平方公里,印度只有328.7万平方公里。这意味着,美国的国土面积大约是印度的3倍(略低于3,大约是2.98左右);但因为美国人口只有印度的23.4%,美国的人均可用土地大约是印度的12.75倍。
另外,美国人口约占世界总人口的4.3%,但拥有全球7%以上的可再生淡水资源。印度人口占世界总人口的18%,水资源只占世界的4%。这意味着平均每个美国人拥有的人均可用水是印度的8倍,这还不包括美国友好“殖民地”可以提供的淡水。而印度面临着可怕的灾难,印度在旁遮普邦和哈里亚纳邦等地方继续种植大米等谷物,但这些地方不吃大米,也没有内河资源。
Finally, the real Achilees heel of India which can neither be solved by river Inter-linking of better public policy (unlike water or education or basic infrastructure) - availability of natural resources like Oil & Gas. India has a mere 4.7 billion barrels of oil reserves that means about ~527 liters of oil per person. No i am not kidding here.
US has about ~256 billion barrels which means per capita ~125000 liters of oil per person.
Summary - Unless India finds a way to cut oil & gas imports (and no, solar and wind are just farts and not really working), India can never have true development as every development needs machines which in turn run on energy consumption.
最后,印度真正的阿喀琉斯之踵不在于没有内河网络或公共政策不佳—而是石油和天然气等自然资源的供应问题。印度只有47亿桶石油储备,这意味着人均只有约527升石油。我可没有开玩笑。
美国拥有大约2560亿桶石油,这意味着人均大约有125000升石油。
总结—除非印度找到减少石油和天然气进口的方法(太阳能和风能只是瞎搞,根本不起作用),否则印度永远都不可能实现真正的发展,因为但凡发展就需要机器,而机器反过来又依赖能源消耗。
Sheshank Joshi
I personally think that their paths don’t converge at all. USA had no continuous History and no legacy to live up to. So, they had a fresh start and hence no invisible forces of society that drive cultures and traditions (also civilizations ) everywhere. They made the most of it and hence they are in the forefront of science. Science gives you access to new technology and technology gives you power, idea, motivation and tools for human empowerment which drive Human development.
我个人认为两个国家完全没有相似之处。美国没有历史根基,也没有值得一提的文化遗产。所以他们可以从零起步,没有无形的社会力量推动文化和传统(也包括文明)。他们充分利用了这一点,因此他们走在了科学的前沿。科学能让你接触到新技术,而技术能给你力量、想法、动力和工具,为人类赋权,推动人类发展。
For India to develop it should stop copying, imitating or borrowing ideas from outside world and create its own set of ideas. Jugaad will no longer work. Indians need to remember their history as a story rather than a legacy and only then will their mindsets and approach change. When mindsets change, creativity and expressiveness follows.
为了发展,印度它应该停止抄袭,模仿或借鉴外部世界的想法,要打造自己的理念。小聪明行不通了。印度人需要记住他们的历史是一个故事,不是遗产,只有这样才能改变他们的心态和方法。当心态改变时,创造力和表现力也会随之改变。
Palak Budhiraja
India and the United States are two vastly different countries with unique historical, cultural, economic, and political contexts. While it is challenging to make direct comparisons or predict the future with certainty, it is important to recognize that both countries have their strengths and challenges. Whether India can develop in a manner similar to the United States depends on various factors and will involve its own distinctive trajectory. Here are some key points to consider:
印度和美国是两个截然不同的国家,有着独特的历史、文化、经济和政治背景。虽然很难直接比较或准确预测未来,但我们要认识到两国都有各自的优势和挑战。印度能否以类似于美国的方式发展,取决于各种因素。以下是几个需要考虑的要点:
1.Economic Development: India has experienced significant economic growth and development in recent decades, but it faces challenges such as income inequality, poverty, and a large informal economy. Achieving a level of economic development similar to the USA will require sustained growth, structural reforms, and addressing these challenges.
2.Demographics: India has a young and growing population, which can be an asset for economic development if properly harnessed through education, skill development, and job creation. However, managing the needs and aspirations of such a large population presents unique challenges.
1.经济发展:近几十年来,印度经历了显著的经济增长和发展,但它仍然面临着收入不平等、贫困和庞大的脱离监管的经济群体等挑战。印度想要达到与美国类似的经济发展水平,需要持续增长、进行结构性改革,并解决这些问题。
2.人口统计:印度拥有年轻且不断增长的人口,如果通过教育、技能发展和创造就业机会等方式妥善利用,这些人口可以成为经济发展的有利条件。但管理庞大人口的需求和愿望也是一个特别的挑战。
3.Innovation and Technology: The USA has been a global leader in innovation and technology, driven by a robust ecosystem of research, entrepreneurship, and investment. India is making strides in this area but must continue to invest in research and development and foster a culture of innovation.
4.Infrastructure: Infrastructure development is crucial for economic growth. India has made progress in areas like transportation and telecommunications, but further investment and modernization are needed to match the USA's infrastructure standards.
3.创新和技术:在强大的研究、创业和投资生态系统的推动下,美国在创新和技术领域一直是全球领跑者。印度在这一领域取得了长足的进步,但必须继续投资于研发,培养创新文化。
4.基础设施:基础设施建设对经济增长至关重要。印度在交通和电信等领域取得了进展,但仍需要进一步投资,完成现代化升级,才能达到美国的基础设施标准。
5.Education and Healthcare: Ensuring access to quality education and healthcare for all citizens is essential for development. India has made improvements but still faces disparities and challenges in these areas.
6.Political Stability and Governance: Stable governance and a conducive policy environment are important for economic development. India's political landscape is diverse, and governance challenges exst at various levels.
5.教育和医疗:确保所有公民都能获得优质教育和医疗服务,这对经济发展至关重要。印度在这些领域取得了进步,但仍然面临着差距和挑战。
6.政治稳定和国家治理:稳定的治理和有利的政策环境对经济发展至关重要。印度的政治格局十分多样化,在各个层面都存在这不小的挑战。
7.Global Integration: Both countries benefit from global trade and investment. India has been working to increase its global integration through trade agreements and reforms.
8.Cultural and Social Factors: Cultural diversity and social dynamics can impact development. India's cultural diversity is a strength, but it also presents unique challenges in terms of social cohesion and inclusion.
9.Environmental Sustainability: Environmental sustainability is an increasingly important aspect of development. Both countries face environmental challenges and must adopt sustainable practices.
7.全球一体化:两国都受益于全球贸易和投资。印度一直在努力通过贸易协定和改革提高全球化程度。
8.文化和社会因素:文化多样性和社会局势可以影响发展。印度的文化多样性是一种优势,但也对社会凝聚力和包容性方面提出了独特的挑战。
9.环境可持续性:环境可持续性是发展的一个日益重要的方面。两国都面临环境挑战,必须采取可持续的做法。
In conclusion, while India has the potential for significant economic development and growth, it is essential to recognize that its development path may differ from that of the United States due to its unique context and challenges. Success will depend on effective governance, investment in human capital, innovation, and sustainable development practices. Additionally, development should be defined in a way that promotes not only economic growth but also social inclusion, environmental sustainability, and overall well-being.
总之,尽管印度具有显著经济发展和增长的潜力,但必须认识到,由于其独特的背景和挑战,印度的发展道路可能与美国不同。成功取决于良好的统治、人力资本投资、创新和可持续发展实践。此外,发展的定义不仅仅是促进经济增长,还包含了促进社会包容、环境可持续性和整体福祉。
Praveen Kumar
The potential for India to develop economically, socially, and technologically like the USA is a complex and multifaceted question. Both countries have unique histories, cultures, and geopolitical contexts that shape their paths of development. While it's not possible to predict the future with certainty, I can provide some insights into the factors that influence development and the challenges and opportunities that India may face:
印度想要像美国一样发展经济、社会和技术等方面的潜力是一个复杂多面的问题。两国都有独特的历史、文化和地缘政治背景,这决定了两国的发展道路。虽然不可能准确预测未来,但我可以就影响印度发展的因素以及印度可能面临的挑战和机遇发表几点看法:
1.Economic Growth: India has experienced significant economic growth in recent decades, becoming one of the world's largest economies. However, it still faces challenges such as income inequality, poverty, and access to basic services. Sustainable economic development requires addressing these issues while fostering innovation and productivity.
2.Education and Workforce: Like the USA, a skilled and educated workforce is crucial for development. India has made strides in education and technology sectors, but there's a need to further improve the quality of education, vocational training, and research and development.
1.经济增长:近几十年来,印度经历了显著的经济增长,成为世界上最大的经济体之一。但印度仍然面临着诸如收入不平等、贫困等挑战。可持续的经济发展需要在促进创新和生产力的同时解决这些问题。
2.教育和劳动力:像美国一样,一只拥有熟练技术且受过教育的劳动力对经济发展至关重要。印度在教育和技术领域取得了长足进步,但仍需进一步提高教育质量、职业培训和研发水平。
3.Innovation and Technology: The USA has been a global leader in innovation and technology. India has a growing tech industry and is known for its IT services and software development. Fostering a culture of innovation, research, and entrepreneurship can contribute to development.
4.Infrastructure and Urbanization: Both countries face challenges related to urbanization, infrastructure development, and sustainable urban planning. Addressing issues like transportation, housing, and environmental sustainability is essential.
3.创新和技术:美国在创新和技术方面一直处于全球领先地位。印度的科技产业不断发展,印度的IT服务和软件开发全球闻名。在印度培育创新、研究和创业的文化有助于经济的发展。
4.基础设施和城市化:两国都面临着城市化、基础设施发展和可持续城市规划方面的挑战。解决交通、住房和环境可持续性等问题至关重要。
5.Political Stability and Governance: Effective governance, rule of law, and political stability are important for development. India's de ocratic system and diverse population present unique governance challenges and opportunities.
6.Healthcare and Social Services: Access to quality healthcare, social services, and social safety nets are important for human development. India is working to improve healthcare infrastructure and expand access to essential services.
5.政治稳定和治理:有效的统治、法治和政治稳定对发展至关重要。印度的皿煮制度和多样化人口带来了独特的管理挑战和机遇。
6.医疗和社会服务:获得高质量的医疗服务、社会服务和社会安全网对发展至关重要。印度正在努力改善医疗基础设施,提高民众获得基本服务的机会。
7.Cultural and Social Factors: Cultural diversity and social dynamics shape development trajectories. India's cultural richness and social complexty contribute to its unique development path.
8.Global Partnerships: Global collaboration and partnerships are increasingly important for development. India's engagement in international trade, diplomacy, and cooperation plays a role in its development journey.
7.文化和社会因素:文化多样性和社会局势可以左右经济发展的走向。印度文化的丰富性和印度社会的复杂性造就了独特的发展道路。
8.全球伙伴关系:全球合作和伙伴关系对发展日益重要。印度参与国际贸易、外交和合作,在印度发展进程中发挥着重要作用。
While India has made significant progress and has the potential for further development, it's important to recognize that development paths can vary and that challenges exst in any developmental journey. India's development will be influenced by a combination of domestic policies, global trends, economic strategies, and societal factors.
Ultimately, India has the potential to achieve high levels of development and improve the well-being of its citizens, but the path it takes will likely be distinct from that of the USA due to its unique circumstances and challenges.
虽然印度已经取得了重大进展,并有进一步发展的潜力,但我们要认识到发展道路因人而异,任何发展都存在挑战。印度的发展受到国内政策、全球趋势、经济战略和社会因素的综合影响。
最终,印度有望实现高水平的发展并为印度公民提供福祉,但由于印度独特的环境和挑战,印度的发展道路可能和美国不同。
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