印度央行预测印度经济将出现V型复苏

RBI sees V-shaped recovery, likely room for policy easing

印度央行预测印度经济将出现V型复苏，或有放宽政策的空间

MUMBAI: Forecasting a V-shaped recovery, Reserve Bank of India has said that if growth momentum continues and inflation stays benign there would be room for policy action to support growth.

孟买：印度央行预测印度经济将出现V型复苏，并表示，如果经济增长势头持续，且通胀保持良性，将有实施政策支持增长的空间。

This observation comes in the central bank’s State of the Economy report released on Thursday. This comes at a time when the central bank has started 'normalising’ the liquidity in the money markets by draining out the surplus it had pumped in to stave off an economic crisis in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic.

印度央行周四发布的经济状况报告阐述了上述观点。与此同时，印度央行已开始将货币市场流动性“正常化”，将为避免新冠肺炎大流行后的经济危机而注入的盈余资金抽回。

“Recent shifts in the macroeconomic landscape have brightened the outlook, with GDP in striking distance of attaining positive territory and inflation easing closer to the target. If these movements sustain, policy space could open up to further support the recovery,” RBI said in the report.

印度央行在报告中表示：“近期宏观经济形势的变化使前景更加光明，GDP有望恢复正增长，通胀趋近于目标。如果这些势头持续下去，政策空间可能会进一步开放，以支持经济复苏。”

Stating that the worst of the Covid-19 crisis is now behind RBI quoting William Shakespeare wrote: “Recent high-frequency indicators suggest that the recovery is getting stronger in its traction and soon the winter of our discontent will be made glorious summer,”.

印度央行说，新冠危机的最糟糕时期已经过去:“最近的高频指标表明，复苏的势头越来越强劲，很快，令我们不满的冬天将变成灿烂的夏天。”

The report states that consumer confidence is expected to improve from January 2021, peak in July 2021 and continue till September ahead of the next festival season

报告称，预计消费者信心将从2021年1月开始提高，在2021年7月达到顶峰，并将持续到下一个节日季前的9月。

印度时报读者的评论：译者：Jessica.Wu

K Mohan Twincities

The confidence level of people is back to normal and no more fear of corona would further take country to bigger growth

人们已恢复信心，对新冠的恐惧不再，这将进一步推动实现更高的增长

K Mohan Twincities

The life support given by the govt during the pandemic is now paying back in good terms

政府在疫情期间提供支持，现在得到了良好的回报

K Mohan Twincities

This is very good news coming out of Vashita rishi that India economy poised for big growth

太好了，看来印度经济有望大幅增长

Deepak

I am only afraid of Modi! When ever the economy is in the best of health, he has a habit of delivering blows and bring it down! Demonitization, GST and hafazard lockdown are glaring examples!!!

我唯一害怕的就是莫迪，每当经济处于最佳状态时，他就来一顿骚操作，把经济搞垮!

废钞令、商品及服务税和封锁令就是最好的例子!!

Raghav

The harsh truth is that the economy is simply out of shape for the past four and half years.

残酷的事实是，印度经济在过去四年半一直处于畸形状态。

aaaa bbbb

After a 24 % fall in GDP what are the chances of a V shape recovery .

在GDP暴跌24%之后，印度经济出现V型复苏的可能性有多大?

Ainkya Taware

Haha, RBI is playing the Game of Bubbles. RBI blind to the big stock market and real estate bubbles it is creating. If RBI doesn't raise interest rates soon, this is not going to end well.

哈哈，印度央行在玩泡沫游戏。印度央行对正在形成的巨大股市和房地产泡沫视而不见。如果印度央行不尽快提高利率，后果不堪设想。

Vivekamunand Cheewalla

What RBI smoking? There is no V shaped recovery. There only is a rebound to pre pandemic levels with a minor bump up due to pent up demand. The long term out look is still negative.

印度央行嗑药了吗?根本不存在V型复苏。之前的需求被压抑，增长只会反弹到疫情前的水平，并有小幅上升，长期来看仍是负的。

Gan Conm

Work so these market gimmicks, who will take care of ever increasing inflation??

谁来解决日益严重的通胀问题呢?

Sanjoy Pandey

Now the biggest question is when will the Sensex reach 100,000 ? The market cap $5 trillion and the GDP $5 trillion ?

现在最大的问题是，Sensex指数何时会达到10万点?

股市市值什么时候能达到5万亿美元，

GDP规模什么时候能达到5万亿美元?

Prasen Kumar Reddy Singi

Inflation is doubling, if not multiplying, price index shows downwards on manipulated data. Economic growth downward, stock markets bullish. By default growth may be there, V- shaped recovery is distant dream.

通货膨胀在加剧，价格指数在受操纵的数据影响下呈下降趋势。经济下行，股市看涨。经济可能会增长，但V型复苏是遥远的梦想。

Prakash Velu

Economy is reviving but for selected sectors and there are many behind and many suffered lot and many are still suffering due to this pandemic. RBI should also focus on those sectors and MSMEs.

Overall balanced growth is important not skewed one.

印度经济正在复苏，但仅限于某些特定部门，许多企业遭受了很大损失，仍在受疫情影响。

印度央行也应该关注这些行业和中小微企业。

重要的是实现全面平衡的增长，而不是扭曲的增长。

Uday Panchpor

Indeed, the recovery is around the corner. Let us continue our focus on putting in our best so that the recovery is faster.

The government should put in its best to control inflation.

事实上，复苏近在眼前。让我们继续集中精力，尽最大努力，加快复苏。

政府应该尽力控制通货膨胀。

Jaganntha j

RBI never cared for common man's problems who is sufferings from financial due to covid lockdown .

印度央行从来没有关心过老百姓的问题，因为新冠封锁，他们陷入财务困境