2014-02-20 11:31 37个评论 字号:


译文来源:三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com
外文标题:China can prevent 13 million smoking deaths by 2050: Study


PARIS: China can prevent nearly 13 million tobacco-related deaths by 2050 by fully implementing a set of neglected anti-smoking policies it had already agreed to, researchers said on Wednesday.

The estimated number of lives saved, more than the population of Greece, would result from a 40-percent lower smoking rate than that projected on current trends, said a paper in the British Medical Journal.

Without any change, it said, China risked accumulating more than 50 million tobacco deaths between 2012 and 2050 — the largest burden of any nation.




But the toll could be reduced by more than a fifth through measures that include higher tobacco taxes, legislating for smoke-free areas and stricter advertising bans.

“The consequences of inaction are considerable,” warned the paper that used computer modelling to predict the potential health benefits of a set of policies China had agreed to when it joined the World Health Organisation’s Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) in 2003.

“Without the implementation of the complete set of stronger policies, the death and disability legacy of current smoking will endure for decades in China.”




The world’s most populous nation accounts for about a third of the world’s smokers, said the report. More than half of Chinese men smoke.

It was also the biggest tobacco producer.

The FCTC mandates a number of policies that include the creation of smoke-free environments, higher taxes, treatment for tobacco dependence, marketing bans and health warnings.

China has increased its tobacco tax on producers and wholesalers, but this has not translated into higher consumer prices, said the study.




It has legislated for a smoking ban on public transport, but advertising bans are “weakly enforced”, it added.

China “has implemented few of the important policies,” said study author David Levy of the Georgetown Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center in Washington.

The team estimated that a 75-percent tax on tobacco products would, on its own, prevent about 3.5 million deaths between 2015 and 2050, and a marketing ban would save another 2.15 million lives.


华盛顿乔治敦大学癌症中心的研究作者David Levy表示,中国对重要政策的实施甚少。


“Implementation of FCTC policies would alleviate a substantial portion of the tobacco-related health burden that threatens to slow China’s extraordinary gains in life expectancy and prosperity,” said the paper.

Under both scenarios, however, the absolute number of smokers and smoking deaths will continue to rise for several decades even as the percentages decline.

The UN’s World Health Organisation (WHO) estimated last July that tobacco kills almost six million people each year, a toll that will rise to eight million annually in 2030.





译文来源:三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/china-can-prevent-13-million-smoking-deaths-by-2050.html

ashish (Blore)
it would be an achievement if China can achieve this
Agree (1)Disagree (0)Recommend (0)


karthy ravi (chennai)
hope every country should follow and try there best.


Mohamad Bin Kasim (real suadi)
Thank you Allaha… More target practice for islam… Kill more chinese…


Morgan (Australia) replies to Mohamad Bin Kasim
Um…. through smoking?


p (f)
good article


Satender Kumar (Unknown)
disaster is waiting for china…………..


Web (Pune)
Tobacco kills. Stop tobacco consumption for god’s sake! On one end of a cigarette is smoke and on the other is a fool.


amit chatterjee (Kolkatta)
How are deaths a burden to a an overpopulated country. Deaths can be a burden to the deceased’s family, of course.


Morgan (Australia) replies to amit chatterjee
Overpopulated is a relative thing, a population well managed and productive can be a nations greatest boon.


Kevin Guite ()
All the best.


Morgan (Australia)
Yup, when I went to register for a Chinese drivers license (since they don’t take international licenses unless it’s translated into Chinese), there was a police officer, inside the police station, smoking under a no smoking sign….
Agree (0)Disagree (0)


Rk NY (NY USA) replies to Morgan
hahaha..yea how hard u try to keep ur cover as aussie..poor muzzie..hahah


Morgan replies to Rk NY
Have you tried to apply for a foreign drivers license before? My Australian license lets me drive in the USA, Cananda, New Zealand, the EU etc… but in some places, you still need either a translation or a local license.


    • 你这是悖论。。。烟不花钱啊。。。户外做深呼吸有同样的效果。。。你真不懂节俭。。。 :mrgreen:
      世界卫生组织去年7月估计,烟草每年杀死大约600万人,这一数据到2030年将上升到800万。怎么杀死才这么点人,烟草公司多舔点料啊。。。 :mrgreen:

      这个很合理的减轻了控制了人口的压力,既创造就业机会(烟草,运输,零售,医院,环卫,消防,等等)又给国家带来税收。从某种意义上解决了草民蛋痛的基础休闲和自我解压的需求。。。 :mrgreen:

        • 你的需求是什么。。。跑圈,俯卧撑一样能消耗你的时间和对你身体有益。。。喝茶都好啊。。。还百十元零食。。。你可真敢。。。不怕糖尿病吗。。。 :mrgreen:

          • 😕 小学时候养成的习惯。从小学五年级开始有熬夜的习惯,每天只睡3个多小时,那时候是喝茶;可我饮茶嘴很叼,好茶喝不起,就改吃零食。后来虽然很少读书,但养成习惯了,嘴巴一闲着就觉得心慌意乱。没办法,改抽烟了 😕 曾经有段时间每天只嗑瓜子吃,倒是省钱,可惜喉咙难受,打小喉咙就不好,还养成了喝水的习惯,每天差不多要喝1桶半水吧,18.9升的那种水桶 😕

    • 至于这个事情。。。我个人观点是。。。没觉得吸烟有什么好处。。。我呼吸系统本来就不好。。。所以本人讨厌吸烟。。。 :mrgreen:
      蛋痛的地球人干的不靠谱的事多了,人们知道吸烟有害,可是还抽。。。政府一边造香烟,一边呼吁禁烟。。。切。。。地球人脑残真不是盖的。。。 👿

  1. 为什么评论会被屏蔽掉,烟草就是合法的毒品,饭后一只烟,快乐似神仙,哥抽的是烟,吐出的是寂寞,俺是不是说出了国内外烟民的心声 😀 😉

  2. 或许是我不能理解 到底抽烟图个什么呢?还有白酒,人多了热闹的喝点还可以,大多数人 对酒精都有依赖了,把酒当水喝 再加上抽烟 可怕