三泰虎

2030年的印度会是什么样的?

Governance and taxes
The GST is a massive push and by 2018 things would be ironed out and settled. If the go nment wins in 2019, it would be emboldened to do further big reforms like GST, bankruptcy reform and real estate reform [The Modi Go nment's Reform Program: A Scorecard] and India may become third-largest economy in next 10 yrs: HSBC
Socioeconomic development
India has been adding record number of bank accounts recently and entered the Guinness books for this achievement [India makes financial world record as millions open new bank accounts] and this is causing a massive change in financial inclusion [‘India is a hotbed of financial inclusion’ ] and the remaining 19% of people who are still unbanked would be banked by 2022. The financial inclusion again helped by internet connectivity would allow farmers to both deposit and take loans - Jan Dhan at Three: Need for Linking Financial Inclusion to Socioeconomic Development

社会经济发展

印度最近银行账户的数量创下记录,进入了吉尼斯世界纪录,这引发了金融包容性发生巨大的改变。剩下的19%未入账银行的将在2022年前入账。互联网接入再次推动了金融包容性,使农民们既能存款也能打款。

The birth rates are falling and by 2030 and given the falling fertility rates our birth rates would be quite low by 2030. With fewer children, more information and more transport connectivity India can manage its children substantially better than what we are doing now and can double up our good efforts in the recent past. India’s child mortality rates declining: Lancet. With fewer children and more resources we can educate them much better.
By 2030, we will have demographic sweetspot - few children, few old people and a lot of people in the middle prime of working age. That is when the GDP growth will rocket [by 2050, we will start ageing and have to worry about the same stuff Japan and are having now].

出生率正在下降,由于生育率的 下降,到了2030年,印度的出生率将很低。随着新生儿减少,新生儿也能得到比以往更好的照料

到了2030年,我们人口将进入最好的红利期:孩子少,老龄人也少,处于工作年龄的人口众多。到了2050年,印度人口将开始老龄化,出行日本和目前的困境

Over the past two decades we have worked successfully curb te rorm [South Asia Te rorm portal] and we are among the rare few regions of the world where te rorm has decreased rather than increased. We have not had a major riot in a long time [List of riots in India] and unlike the 1980s-90s when Punjab, Tamil Nadu, Assam and J&K had massive issues, we are no risk of civil war. We don’t have wars, civil wars, major secession movements or bombings. This unprecedented peace is why we can push the big things and why our media can afford to report on little crimes.

过去20年,我们成功遏制了主义。我们很长时间没有发生大规模动乱。不像上世纪80~90年代的旁遮普邦、泰米尔纳德邦、阿萨姆邦和克什米尔受大量问题困扰,我们没有内战的危险。没有战争、内战、重大运动或爆炸事件。这是前所未有的和平,所以我们能上马大项目

By 2030, most of our population would be past the lowest levels of Maslow’s hierarchy - food, clothing, shelter, ricity, transportation, safety and Internet.
That is when India can push its core strengths - of its vast diaspora, of its great higher education institutions and its core cultural strengths supporting innovation.
I cannot wait to get there. I was born in a poor country. I will not die in one.
155.9k Views · 8,735 Upves

到了2030年,我们大多数人口都将超过马斯洛需求层次理论的最低等级:食物、衣服、住所、电力、交通、安全和互联网等各方面需求得到满足。

到时候,印度能推动其核心优势,即庞大的海外侨民、优秀的高等教育和核心文化优势。

我迫不及待地期待那一刻,我出生时国家贫穷,死亡时它将富裕。

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