三泰虎

美国在2020年海战中会输给中国吗?

中国军力的崛起——以及特别是中国先进导弹技术的崛起——将在全球的国家安全论坛上成为主要的谈论话题。有网民评论称,“那要看战场在哪里。如果在中国海岸附近,5年后,美国海军会输。如果是在太平洋中部,即使是10年后,美国也依然可能赢。以我之见,中国无法将大量武器运到太平洋中部。另一方面,如果美国舰队(包括潜艇)在中国海岸附近航行,那么中国很多武器都可以打到美国舰队。”

译者:孤独寂寞冷
来源:龙腾网 http://www.ltaaa.com/bbs/thread-367736-1-1.html
外文:http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/would-america-lose-the-great-naval-war-2020-china-13760


ghjgh

Would America Lose the Great Naval War of2020 to China?

美国在2020年海战中会输给中国吗?

Back in the Winter 2010 edition of Orbis, thealways smart James Kraska, at the time an investigator at the Woods HoleOceanographic Institution, presented his readers with a terrifying prospect:the possibility that China would be able sink a U.S. Aircraft Carrier—virtuallyat will. Inprofessional publications, thepossibility had been raised before. However, thanksto various mentions in more-mainstreammedia, the rise of China’s military might—andspecifically advanced missile technology—would soon become a dominant topicof conversation in national-security circles around the globe.

在Orbis的2010年冬季版本中,总是睿智的JamesKraska(当时是伍兹霍尔海洋研究所的调查人员)向读者展现了一个可怕的前景:中国能随意击沉美国航母的可能性。在专业的出版物上,这种可能性之前也被提及过。然而,由于更加主流的媒体经常提及,所以中国军力的崛起——以及特别是中国先进导弹技术的崛起——将在全球的国家安全论坛上成为主要的谈论话题。

评论翻译:



Reality Check • 2 hours ago
An aircraft carrier, as a major platform toproject military power, is simply an obsolete concept, at least to other majorpowers. It is even more so when confronting adversaries like China, where thePLA has not only DF-21D, but other missiles such as YJ-12, YJ-18.... All inhuge numbers.
Having realized this, China does not intendto use its aircraft carrier against US carrier battle groups. In fact, even ifUS did not have any carriers, China still would not do so.
During WW II, many aircraft carriers weresunk, there was no country that did not suffer, while Japan lost more thanothers. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

航母作为投送军力的主要平台已经成为了一个过时的概念,至少对于其他主要大国来说是这样的。而在面对中国这样的敌人时更是如此,解放军不仅拥有东风21,而且还拥有鹰击12和18,而且数量众多。

在认识到这一点后,中国并不打算用自己的航母来对付美国航母战斗群。实际上,即使美国没有航母,中国也不会出动航母对付美国。

二战期间,很多航母被击沉,几乎所有国家的航母都被击沉过,而日本比其他国家损失更多的航母。

 
S0undGarden Reality Check • an hour ago
Not entirely. I would say having top-notchJet-Fighters patrolling the skies pretty much wherever a Carrier roams is apretty dämn powerful projection. You don't think AA missiles on either a planeor any of the Navy's other platforms could take down a slew of Chinese toys?

并非完全如此。在航母所到之处,我们一流的战机就可以在上空巡逻,这实在是个强大的力量投放。你认为美国战机上或者海军其他作战平台上的空空导弹无法干掉大量的中国玩具?

 
Reality Check S0undGarden • an hour ago
What you said is true to countries likeIraq, Libya, Afghanistan.

你说的这个只适用于伊拉克,利比亚和阿富汗。

 
S0undGarden Reality Check • an hour ago
Consider this: We can move our Fighterswherever we want to ^_~

想想这个:我们可以将战机送到任何一个地方。

 
Reality Check S0undGarden • an hour ago
The phrase A2/AD was coined by some USanalyst, not PLA.
You're too much behind.

反通路/区域拒止(A2/AD)是美国分析家创造出来的,而不是解放军创造的。
你真是太弱后了。

 
Dan H • 3 hours ago
China has one carrier group, the US has 10.So in 5 years, china is going to have parity with the US Navy? What a joke!

中国有一个航母战斗群,美国有10个。5年后,中国就能和美国海军抗衡了?真是个笑话!

 
Reality Check Dan H • 2 hours ago
You keep saying simple but stupid things.Read my comment left on this page, and see how I look at it.
You are desperately trying to let Americansbelieve that since China has fewer aircraft carriers than US, it would be OKfor the US to get involved in the war against China, helping Taiwan.
Well, the Americans are not as stupid assomeone like you can make fool of. At least, there are many American analystswho have the right picture already, from decades ago.

你一直在重复简单和愚蠢的话。读读我的评论,看看我的看法。
你急切的想让美国人相信由于中国的航母没有美国多,所以美国可以介入与中国的战争,帮助台湾。
可是美国人可没有蠢到可以让你愚弄。至少,美国分析家几十年前就看清了事实。

此文由 三泰虎 编辑,未经允许不得转载!:首页 > 美国 » 美国在2020年海战中会输给中国吗?

()
分享到:
无觅关联推荐,快速提升流量

相关推荐